• 小莱卡
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    6 days ago

    I think it will be in the Sahel region, if the AES alliance (lol) keep being successful the people from the plethora of small and poor neighboring countries will inevitably demand their governments for improvement and we might see something.

    • fire86743
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      6 days ago

      If this causes an anti-imperialist coup in a country with a coast, it would probably be a game changer.

  • Rextreff
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    6 days ago

    Definitely Burkina Faso and Niger, maybe Mali too

  • DankZedong A
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    6 days ago

    I mean we keep steadily growing in Belgium so I won’t count us out in Europe. Though it would be a massively hard thing to achieve and we’d probably face violent resistance at some point.

  • rainpizza
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    6 days ago

    With the recent reforms, Nicaragua will join the AES list soon.

  • supersolid_snake
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    6 days ago

    Hoping western leftists break off a chunk of America and make it a AES actually. Won’t happen because they are always eyeing our countries in the global south for breaking apart. Not directed at you OP.

      • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.net
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        6 days ago

        The US fucked so much with Honduras recently, and all because the Zelayas (who were pretty much neoliberals and very rich people) became socdems and were making deals with Venezuela, after the 2009 military coup they developed their own Democratic Socialism ideology but they are still socially conservative on some stuff.

  • Des [she/her, they/them]@hexbear.net
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    6 days ago

    Sahel or somewhere in latin america. i also think this is where we’ll start seeing new practical applications of modern socialism from that will be a departure from the early 20th.

    not wildly so but enough to be a new “era”

  • IHave69XiBucks
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    6 days ago

    Idk about exact country, but i feel like itll be somewhere in latin america or the middle east.

        • redtea
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          6 days ago

          Would be great to see another piece of the puzzle put on the jigsaw in that part of the world. I’m hoping that when it happens, a few states participate so they can protect each other against the US.

  • Erika3sis [she/her, xe/xem]@hexbear.net
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    6 days ago

    In my future fiction project I think it might’ve actually been Ryukyu: when war broke out in Korea and Taiwan, the massive expansion of the American military presence in the Ryukyu Islands created intense conflict between locals and the government, and this conflict only worsened as opposition was suppressed. This led to a revitalization of the Ryukyu independence movement and a widespread embrace of revolutionary socialism among locals.

    This is certainly not the most “realistic” prediction — the more obvious predictions would be “somewhere in Latin America or the Middle East” as the other commenter said — but the thing about predictions is that so much can change unpredictably in a short time-span, things can butterfly, so it is difficult to say anything with any amount of certainty.

    Sent from Mdewakanton Dakota lands / Sept. 29 1837

    Treaty with the Sioux of September 29th, 1837

    “We Will Talk of Nothing Else”: Dakota Interpretations of the Treaty of 1837

    • pancakeOP
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      6 days ago

      That’d be an interesting timeline to live in. I can definitely see that story happening irl in many places as the downfall of the empire goes on.

    • Pathfinder
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      5 days ago

      While I agree with the sentiments about Northern Africa and the Sahel countries as most likely, India is my “dark horse” choice. Yes, BJP and fascism is a big problem. But I think along other metrics, it appears that the conditions seem to be matching up. Recently there were those farmer protests that seemed to have a heavy communist influence that were like the largest protests in human history (I recall something like 200 million people participated in the protest). There’s quite a ways to go but I would not be surprised to see India go communist in this century.

  • multitotal
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    6 days ago

    Rojava/DAANES is AES in the Middle East. They are the only socialist project in the Middle East, actually.

    • darkcalling
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      6 days ago

      You mean the US puppets that were used for strategic purposes for helping the US do imperialism and counter regional counterweights to the west such as Iran and its allies?

      The same ones who helped whether they like it or not the current Islamist extremists overthrow Syria and have thus been a part of turning it into Libya 2.0?

      • multitotal
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        6 days ago

        You mean the US puppets that were used for strategic purposes for helping the US do imperialism and counter regional counterweights to the west such as Iran and its allies?

        Well, I happen to think that non-“white” people have agency. Why couldn’t it have been that Rojava used the US to achieve its goals? I am not denying that some US goals and SDF/Rojava goals aligned, but why should we strip SDF of agency and say they are mindless puppets controlled by the US?

      • Kumikommunism [they/them]@hexbear.net
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        6 days ago

        Man this reddit-tier comment structure fucking sucks. It’s not even worth paying attention to because you wrote it like that. Just talk like you’re talking to a human please.

        • darkcalling
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          And I’m the rude one? Of course I’m talking to humans, do you see me personally insulting the person I replied to? No. Yet you go for that with that dig. Offer an actual objection to the substance of what I’m saying instead of trying to play tone policing games, we’re talking global geo-politics here not some intimate and sensitive personal matter.

          Fact is Rojava have been to my knowledge in matter of deed an aid not a hindrance to the global primary contradiction, to the US empire and must be analyzed in light of that. Not what they want to do, not what they claim they will do but what they have done materially.

          They’re too small to matter, the US can brush them aside if they ever cause trouble or cease to be useful and their situation I think given all the rest that’s happening is not great. They’re not China where they’re such a size that the US helping them gain strength can result in an entity that is capable of then resisting them and bringing about damage to them or even threatening their entire order. They are quite honestly not a power even regionally outside the territories they operate in and IMO never will be.

          Maybe I shouldn’t blame them, I’m not some expert on the situation there but I can say I don’t think they should be praised given what they’ve done. Maybe they felt they had to make some deals with the devil but I don’t think they deserve being lionized given what those deals entailed and how they worked out with regards to the larger strategic landscape and the power balance that impacts the lives of tens of millions of humans in the region beyond the borders of Syria.

          The situation in Syria seems complex. I never thought Assad was a great leader but the alternatives continue to be worse and we must remember this whole situation including the misery of the Syrian people started because of the US trying to do regime-change and toppling to do engineering of the middle east for their grand chessboard strategy to retain their global hegemony by preventing land power unity between Africa, Russia, Europe, Asia via sabotaging the cross-roads. In light of that working with the people responsible for all of this because they promise you maybe they’ll help give you power or a piece of the pie isn’t a great look. Sure if it had worked and they’d won instead of the jihadists the conversation might be different but I’m not sure they were ever desired to win as the US prefers corrupt puppets or destablized regions via extremist proxies.