Beijing has reportedly privately warned US officials that it may respond militarily to US House Speaker Pelosi’s planned trip to Taiwan, according to six anonymous sources
Beijing has reportedly privately warned US officials that it may respond militarily to US House Speaker Pelosi’s planned trip to Taiwan, according to six anonymous sources
Sooo what are our predictions for this supremely moronic trip? Will she cancel again or do we have WW3 on our hands?
Note the word “reportedly”
True. But Chinese officials have definitely issued strong warning publicly over the last days, though no explicit military response was threatened.
It is brinkmanship 100% and something is definitely going to happen should she go. With the US being ruled by insane hawk currently this is dangerous af even if this specific warning didn’t occur.
One thing is for sure, China - like Russia - doesn’t bluff when it comes to these points of vital national interest, but more importantly Beijing WILL call your bluffs so if the US think they’re gonna achieve something with this sort of provocative behavior and that a response will not come, the US is sorely mistaken.
I don’t know if the trip will be cancelled, but if it does happen the response will be extremely strong. I give it about 50% chance of ingolving a military component, but 95% that even if it does it will stop short of anything that could be perceived as an act of war.
Still the military part is the part that should worry the US the least, China has a whole lot of other means at its disposal ranging from the diplomatic to the economic which could be employed and cause significant problems for both Taiwan and the US.