Beijing has reportedly privately warned US officials that it may respond militarily to US House Speaker Pelosi’s planned trip to Taiwan, according to six anonymous sources

  • cfgaussian
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    2 years ago

    I don’t know if the trip will be cancelled, but if it does happen the response will be extremely strong. I give it about 50% chance of ingolving a military component, but 95% that even if it does it will stop short of anything that could be perceived as an act of war.

    Still the military part is the part that should worry the US the least, China has a whole lot of other means at its disposal ranging from the diplomatic to the economic which could be employed and cause significant problems for both Taiwan and the US.