I wonder how this will end. Western economies are starting to get absolutely wrecked as well with never ending inflation it seems. There are a few Ukranian refugees employed at my place and they don’t seem to be much optimistic about returning to a stable country. But they also don’t want to stay that long over here.
On a side note, they get treated disgustingly as expected. The people at my place of work are of course working and earning their own income, but they get constant calls from social security departments from the city who are saying they shouldn’t work and instead just should collect welfare. The reason for this is that said departments get money for every refugee they provide welfare to. Welfare is a bit lower than what they earn right now (around 2-300 euro per month lower) but they wouldn’t have to work. Our company wants them to stay employed and they feel no rush in leaving the company. It’s a place where they can integrate into society, but the government would rather have them sitting at home in their own segregated part of town.
I think the most likely outcome is that Russia will incorporate territories where there is dominant pro Russian sentiment. This would include Odessa and Kharkov regions. Taking the region around Odessa will also create a land bridge to Transnistria and block Ukraine from sea access.
The rest of Ukraine would become west’s problem. It’s going to be a rump state without any agriculture or industry to speak of, which means it’s going to need a constant flood of money to prop up. The west will have no choice but to pour money into it because if it falls then there would be a flood of refugees coming. Since western Ukraine is vehemently anti Russians the refugees will necessarily flee to the west.
I wonder how this will end. Western economies are starting to get absolutely wrecked as well with never ending inflation it seems. There are a few Ukranian refugees employed at my place and they don’t seem to be much optimistic about returning to a stable country. But they also don’t want to stay that long over here.
On a side note, they get treated disgustingly as expected. The people at my place of work are of course working and earning their own income, but they get constant calls from social security departments from the city who are saying they shouldn’t work and instead just should collect welfare. The reason for this is that said departments get money for every refugee they provide welfare to. Welfare is a bit lower than what they earn right now (around 2-300 euro per month lower) but they wouldn’t have to work. Our company wants them to stay employed and they feel no rush in leaving the company. It’s a place where they can integrate into society, but the government would rather have them sitting at home in their own segregated part of town.
I think the most likely outcome is that Russia will incorporate territories where there is dominant pro Russian sentiment. This would include Odessa and Kharkov regions. Taking the region around Odessa will also create a land bridge to Transnistria and block Ukraine from sea access.
The rest of Ukraine would become west’s problem. It’s going to be a rump state without any agriculture or industry to speak of, which means it’s going to need a constant flood of money to prop up. The west will have no choice but to pour money into it because if it falls then there would be a flood of refugees coming. Since western Ukraine is vehemently anti Russians the refugees will necessarily flee to the west.
There are a couple lessons here: (1) don’t trust the West, and (2) DON’T LET NAZIS INTO YOUR FUCKING GOVERNMENT.
good rules to live by