I think the most likely outcome is that Russia will incorporate territories where there is dominant pro Russian sentiment. This would include Odessa and Kharkov regions. Taking the region around Odessa will also create a land bridge to Transnistria and block Ukraine from sea access.
The rest of Ukraine would become west’s problem. It’s going to be a rump state without any agriculture or industry to speak of, which means it’s going to need a constant flood of money to prop up. The west will have no choice but to pour money into it because if it falls then there would be a flood of refugees coming. Since western Ukraine is vehemently anti Russians the refugees will necessarily flee to the west.
I think the most likely outcome is that Russia will incorporate territories where there is dominant pro Russian sentiment. This would include Odessa and Kharkov regions. Taking the region around Odessa will also create a land bridge to Transnistria and block Ukraine from sea access.
The rest of Ukraine would become west’s problem. It’s going to be a rump state without any agriculture or industry to speak of, which means it’s going to need a constant flood of money to prop up. The west will have no choice but to pour money into it because if it falls then there would be a flood of refugees coming. Since western Ukraine is vehemently anti Russians the refugees will necessarily flee to the west.
There are a couple lessons here: (1) don’t trust the West, and (2) DON’T LET NAZIS INTO YOUR FUCKING GOVERNMENT.
good rules to live by