You just gotta love how US military say everything openly and in their reports. In particular, it has a forecast of US casualties and mobilization reserves in a conflict of this level.

Thesis:

  • military doctors project a [KIA and WIA] casualty rate for the US Armed Forces of 3,600\day.
  • The combat replenishment rate is 25% or 800 troops per day.
  • In 20 years of combat in Iraq and Afghanistan, the U.S. has lost about 50,000 people.

In a conflict of the Ukrainian level, the U.S. would suffer such losses in 2 weeks.

  • The recruitment shortage is a major problem.
  • every soldier not recruited today is a strategic mobility asset [IRR or reservists] that the US will not have in 2031**
  • IRR was 700K in 1973, 450K in 1994, now at 76K.
  • These numbers will not make up for the projected losses.
  • the 70’s concept of contract forces is outdated and does not fit the current operational environment.
  • The needs of the U.S. Armed Forces for a Ukrainian-level war require a transition to conscription.

  • olgas_husband
    351·
    1 year ago

    depression and drug use, physical issues

    lmao, so basically no usian can make in, psychological problems are sky rocketing because of shit living conditions + fentanyl addicts + people with diseases from low quality food like high blood pressure or diabetes.

    speaking serious now, i fucking bet that in case a war breaks out, they will lift these restrictions immediately and send the “undesirables” to die, with the exception of prisoners jails are private and having people release could result in profit loss.

    • ComradeSalad
      41·
      1 year ago

      They’ve already done that.

      Look up “McNamara’s Morons”. The US lifted those restrictions during the Vietnam war, and those units had a casualty rate of nearly 3 times that of standard units.

      • PolandIsAStateOfMind
        291·
        1 year ago

        MacNamara’s Morons

        Every time i get to know something new about USA, it’s yet another marg bar moment.

          • Shrike502
            61·
            1 year ago

            And I’m still wondering how could there be people who know these things, who know about Tuskegee trials, MOVE bombing, fuckin Bonus Army - and still cheer for USA, or at least “liberal democracy”. But nope, somehow in their mind USSR is still worse

      • Dessa
        7·
        1 year ago

        Holy shit, I never expected there ti be an actual RL explanation for Forrest Gump and Bubba

        • ComradeSalad
          7·
          1 year ago

          Yep, they were part of Project 100,000, if you also notice during those scenes, the other men in their platoon have some physical disabilities, alcoholism, poor eyesight, under/overweight, and other “McNamara” traits.

    • usernamesaredifficul [he/him]@hexbear.netEnglish
      11·
      1 year ago

      exception of prisoners jails are private and having people release could result in profit loss

      not if you pay the prisons to recruit prisoners.

      someone please take the lathe away from me