I don’t know much about Iran’s chain of command, but I find it hard to believe that killing 3 guys completely obliterates their ability to communicate and coordinate with their allies. This is some real big “Great Man History” stuff going on right here.
It’ll be a shakeup but if Isn’trael doesn’t make any more big moves militarily, then the replacements (whether fresh blood of promoted from the deceased generals’ respective staff) will have more than enough time to get a handle on things.
No it really isn’t. The 3 generals who planned every operation and move for the region are dead. That means operational planning, coordination and leadership need to be undertaken by replacements who have barely been on the job for 2 weeks, who possibly don’t know their own assets, and who do not have relationships with the Syrian, Palestinian, Lebanese and Yemeni leadership they need to coordinate with. If you don’t understand why that last bit is important, then I don’t know what to tell you, besides read up more on how all these forces operate in the region.
Let me put it simply: You want Iran to enter in a war with the US, possibly NATO, while a vital part of the military leadership that will lead this war is new and inexperienced, its allies busy doing other things, and this war could possibly destroy both every gain Iran has made diplomatically and the momentum for Palestinian independence. And what does it get out of it? Israel gets to learn not to do it again.
You’re not being very convincing, and you’re assuming a lot about what I “want.” I agree with your analysis overall, but this one part doesn’t seem to make much sense to me, and reiterating what you said instead of expanding upon it doesn’t help.
I stated that I don’t think it is likely that 3 people are the only people in the region capable of coordinating with Iran’s allies. You’ve just reiterated that these three are the only ones ever possibly capable, I doubt this a lot. It’s not like Iran has only ever sent these three guys to the region and there is literally no one else in Iran capable of working with their allies. I think it’s pretty unlikely that Iran’s entire military hinges on 3 fucking people to make every decision and communicate with their every ally. I’m not saying this isn’t a setback, but you seem to be acting like this is some video game shit, where Iran’s “main characters” got killed and they’re incapable of conducting any more operations in the region. Stop this overly-simplistic lib shit in your analysis.
additionally: if Iran’s military capability hinged on 3 individuals we’d have heard their names years ago, endlessly, as the Western Media relentlessly demonized them to justify murdering them. And they’d have been murdered a lot sooner.
Was each generals’ entire staff also killed? Unless NATO is planning on starting a boots on the ground invasion or massive covert operation/terror campaign really soon… maybe it will take less time to get things normalized than our pessimism wants us to think.
I don’t know much about Iran’s chain of command, but I find it hard to believe that killing 3 guys completely obliterates their ability to communicate and coordinate with their allies. This is some real big “Great Man History” stuff going on right here.
It’ll be a shakeup but if Isn’trael doesn’t make any more big moves militarily, then the replacements (whether fresh blood of promoted from the deceased generals’ respective staff) will have more than enough time to get a handle on things.
No it really isn’t. The 3 generals who planned every operation and move for the region are dead. That means operational planning, coordination and leadership need to be undertaken by replacements who have barely been on the job for 2 weeks, who possibly don’t know their own assets, and who do not have relationships with the Syrian, Palestinian, Lebanese and Yemeni leadership they need to coordinate with. If you don’t understand why that last bit is important, then I don’t know what to tell you, besides read up more on how all these forces operate in the region.
Let me put it simply: You want Iran to enter in a war with the US, possibly NATO, while a vital part of the military leadership that will lead this war is new and inexperienced, its allies busy doing other things, and this war could possibly destroy both every gain Iran has made diplomatically and the momentum for Palestinian independence. And what does it get out of it? Israel gets to learn not to do it again.
You’re not being very convincing, and you’re assuming a lot about what I “want.” I agree with your analysis overall, but this one part doesn’t seem to make much sense to me, and reiterating what you said instead of expanding upon it doesn’t help.
I stated that I don’t think it is likely that 3 people are the only people in the region capable of coordinating with Iran’s allies. You’ve just reiterated that these three are the only ones ever possibly capable, I doubt this a lot. It’s not like Iran has only ever sent these three guys to the region and there is literally no one else in Iran capable of working with their allies. I think it’s pretty unlikely that Iran’s entire military hinges on 3 fucking people to make every decision and communicate with their every ally. I’m not saying this isn’t a setback, but you seem to be acting like this is some video game shit, where Iran’s “main characters” got killed and they’re incapable of conducting any more operations in the region. Stop this overly-simplistic lib shit in your analysis.
additionally: if Iran’s military capability hinged on 3 individuals we’d have heard their names years ago, endlessly, as the Western Media relentlessly demonized them to justify murdering them. And they’d have been murdered a lot sooner.
Was each generals’ entire staff also killed? Unless NATO is planning on starting a boots on the ground invasion or massive covert operation/terror campaign really soon… maybe it will take less time to get things normalized than our pessimism wants us to think.