With all the western media outlets declaring that Russia has all but been defeated, I’m wondering if the situation is really all that grim over there. Are the Ukranazis really winning?
With all the western media outlets declaring that Russia has all but been defeated, I’m wondering if the situation is really all that grim over there. Are the Ukranazis really winning?
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My guess is that they might declare formal declaration of war so that they will be able to draft more soldiers into the war.
Russia went into war in a total civilian economy and mobilization, as opposed to Ukraine who mobilize their entire industry and issuing draft to large chunk of their population. As a result, the Russia can afford only around 200,000 troops on the entire Ukrainian front, which likely begin the war with more than 600,000 troops, not counting further draft and foreign “volunteer”.
Keep in mind, army composed not just of combat elements, but also support elements as well. Basically they’re less than 100,000 personals that’s on the frontline, which is around 2000 kilometers long.
There’s so much an army of that size can actually do in a war, and recent operations indicate that they’re stretched pretty thin.
(In comparison, against Iraq, similar size but significantly less well-armed, US et al. sent around 900,000 troops to Iraq, but still took 6 months to end the war, despite the US being pretty indiscriminate with their strikes.)
Sooner they can end this thing may be for the better.
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I think they are likely to declare an anti-terror action before formal war, it would open the scale of the war, but not over commit, especially with the developments in Armenia.