Yropeên

  • 615 Posts
  • 109 Comments
Joined hace 9 meses
cake
Cake day: ago. 20, 2021

help-circle
rss

Austria and Bosnia can’t function without Russian gas.


It’s a “first experience” kind of thing.

The first film that was made in 1978.
It was the first movie that gave it’s viewers the “space adventure experience” and it didn’t feel aged until around 25 years later, just like the Beatles music that gave listeners the “rock dance experience”.

No movie at that time had the “pew pew” plasma gun sound effects or the “voom” plasma sword effects.
On top of that, it also wasn’t made by a large corporation, so it adhered to solid storytelling, rather than marketed storytelling.
The two later movies were of the same story quality.

For me, experiencing both around 1992 at age 10, Star Wars still was without equal and it wasn’t until the Independence Day movie that it’s special effects stopped being special.
The Beatles on the other hand, felt unfinished, experimental, or just on par with average pop song to me, while Queen was still the classic rock music top quality standard.

In 2001 the next trilogy of Star Wars started and I guess they were hoping to get that same experience back with lots of CGI, except that had already been done in 1994 with Jurassic Park.
On top of that, CGI has two problems compared to other special effects.

  1. The actors can’t see the CGI and so they’re told to just imagine what they see, leading to subpar performances.
  2. Unless it can fool the viewer that it’s real, it looks very ugly.
  3. CGI allows any movie scene to be possible, but this can fall into the trap of #2. All three were present in the second trilogy.

Storywise they also made a couple of errors.

Then there’s the third trilogy.
No new technology was used there as far as I’m aware.
I think the Mandalorian used new tech, some kind of CGI room, that solves issue #1.
And the storytelling was a confusing mess mixed with a feminist tract, not a space adventure.



Privjêt osi


Gorbachev

If the Soviet Union had a different leader than Gorbachev that would have continued it, then it would have been smooth sailing after 2008. The US or the EU/UK would have collapsed back then already, like it’s doing now.

The Soviet Union had always been the weaker nation during the 20th century due to not having the best fossil fuel of the 20th century, coal.
So it needed to spend a lot of money on it’s military and media to keep things together. Gorbachev didn’t do that and as a consequence the Soviet Union fell apart.

These days the best fossil fuel is natural gas.
Guess who has the most of it?


The war between Russia and US being over Ukraine, when the reality is that the US wants to weaken and overthrow the elected Russian leader, so it can divide the country and install multiple puppet leaders in order to get its hands on Russia’s cheap gas is going to be difficult to predict as to what the official narrative will be.

The US wants to print all the dollars in the world as it pleases and it wants the world to pay for them.
It has made such a scheme with Saudi Arabia, where “Forcing to sell oil in rubles is blackmail” (news headline) but “Forcing countries to buy oil in dollars isn’t”.
Saudis aren’t crazy, so they want to be able to have an advantage of taking dollars over their own currency. If they trade more with China and thus need more yuan, then why not cut out the middle man and get rid of some of those dollars?
This can lead to a cascade of selling dollars, leaving the US much poorer in a single year.
This is Saudi Arabia announced to sell some of their oil in yuan for the first time in history.


Small exceptions.
The USSR is the big example of it having lost.

I’m talking about the future where there’s going to be revolutions again.


“What do you mean by it has lost everywhere but is now returning?”

By that I mean the USSR was the great socialist state, with the whole of eastern Europe joining. There were socialist revolutions popping up everywhere and even the United States got scared during the 1930s prompting a New Deal capitalist reform to a more social democracy in order to appease the working class.

“Are you saying it has a chance to win, permanently?”

The only reason socialism has failed in the USSR is because of the US.
During the 20th century the US had every tailwind it could wish for,
the USSR had almost every headwind.

The US biggest advantage is it’s total amount of fossil fuels. It simply has the most of it, which is why it was able to produce more oil and gas than the rest of the world combined in the first half of the century.
It also has produced the most coal in the world during the entire 20th century and still has by far more of it than any other nation.

And then on top of that, two world wars where the US was almost not attacked at all, whereas the Soviet Union was the main target in world war II, where 90% of the fighting happened.
Enormous losses.

Only now is it beginning to look difficult for the US to hold on to it’s hegemonic power.

With having such a tailwind, the US in contrary to the USSR, has lived like a king despite being reckless. For example, to produce fossil fuels, the US just took as much risk as it liked and ‘hit gold’ every single time. The USSR could not understand why it took them so little time when they were carefully expanding their production.
Since the dawn of the 21st century however, the US has tried to repeat this method with shale oil, but this time it’s backfiring. Initially everyone jumped on board again, trying to turn the US into another Saudi Arabia, because why wouldn’t it be #1? And in just twelve years they managed to indeed beat Saudi Arabia, producing the most oil in the world again…without a profit.
So instead of being as earn as much as Saudi Arabia, they got into debt.
Investors walked out after twelve year of constant production increases.
This leaves no money for the shale oil producers to take risks and so currently the shale oil are now drilling all the wells they’ve found, until they can pay down the investors and earn enough to find new wells. They’ve got about two years until they run out of old wells.

Then there’s the US biggest advantage of the 20th century, coal.
Wind and solar are beating coal and US wind and solar is less advantageous per capita than coal for countries like Tanzania, Chile, Indonesia, Tajikistan, or the North Pole for that matter.

Now having lost these advantages, the US has gone into the 21st century thinking that communism has been beat and won’t return forever, so it doesn’t need to repeat what it did in the 1930s, which saved the nation from a socialist revolution.
And so there will be a revolution in the US, socialist or the always-self-destructive fascist one and that will be the end of it’s world reign.

So without the US being the big spoiler in the room, there’s the question of why won’t there be a capitalist nation taking over the baton.
First of all China will likely be the new big winner and China is socialist.
Second of all, automation causes jobs to be lost and we are in a very late stage of automation.
It’s been happening since the industrialization, but with computers, not just machines, all jobs are at stake. Jobs in the agricultural sector, industrial sector, service sector, all of them.
Even the profession of a banker is no longer safe with the introduction of digital currencies.
And this type of automation, computerized automation, has been happening for 50+ years already.
The richest people of the world already are semi-IT nerds instead of bankers and IT is the profession of job destruction.
So the richest people in the world, the thing that makes the most money these days, is the profession of automating other people’s jobs.

This is destabilizing all capitalist nations, which means that after the US collapse, there’s not going to be a new capitalist nation.

Permanently.


The way I see it.

“Has communism won?”

It lost almost everywhere, the big exception being China, and now it’s coming back.

“Is it a matter of time before the collapse of the West?”

There is no such thing as “the West”, only the US empire, which has been in territorial decline ever since pro-China Hong Kong won against anti-China Hong Kong.
The time is when Ukraine loses the war, because that’s going to cause political shock waves across the world. Mostly because of the amount of investment the EU and US are pouring into this in order to weaken Russia.
But even if the Ukraine war is won, the decline of the US and EU will continue.
A turn-around would be the US or EU finding massive fossil resources in their area. That’s not going to happen.

“Or will fascism have a complete takeover?”

In the US? Maybe. But the EU will collapse before it can get off the ground. The Ukraine toll will be too large.

“What are some things that will almost certainly happen?”

Ukraine will lose the war.

The moment the war is lost, US and EU public will panic and in response, escalate the issue even further. Holding fascist riots against any nation that’s neutral towards Russia. Chinese, Indians, Muslims. They’re all targeted and it will be done in the name of peace and freedom and democracy.
What’s done against Russia right now, will be done against China, India, Saudi-Arabia and other countries.

The EU far-right will be further split into pro-Russian conservatives and pro-liberal pro-Ukrainians.
EU will be poorer than Russia and China on a per capita basis by 2030.
EU will have civil wars between liberal (+fascists), pro-Russian conservatives (-fascists), and socialists.
Hyperinflation in the US, EU and Japan.
Taiwan will be reunited with the PRC before 2030.
War between US and Saudi-Arabia before 2030.


Pee to purge Putin.
Hmmm… that would not work, let me try again… ahem…
“bash your boot in to own Putin.”
Or… “Hop a giant boot in, together we’ll defeat Putin”



Why is that?
I kind of liked Ubuntu.
It’s too bad their phone OS project failed, because it was a fun phone.
I haven’t used it years though as I now prefer Manjaro.


I’m curious too, but since I’ve been curious about this for two decades, I think it’s safe to say that they’ll be using Ubuntu Kylin, so based off Ubuntu.

There’s only two other non-phone Chinese OSes I know of, DeepIn and RedFlag and I never see either of them ever being mentioned in relation to the Chinese goverment.


Accelerate its decline.

The US empire has fossil fuel issues, EU fossil fuels are in terminal decline. They both have a massive debt problem on their hands that they need to fix and then the US decides to start a war with Russia and have it’s most loyal EU allies to block their own imported fossil fuels coming from Russia? And the EU gladly accept this!?

And the expectation that Russians will go against Russia while blockading all Russians and stealing all their money is plainly insane.

All of their strategies are completely insane apart from ‘how to fool the public into supporting our war and surrender their money to us’.

That’s an empire in quick war decline. Even if it wins it’s war against Russia, which is very unlikely, it will be immediately faced with a weakened US and severely weakened EU.


I disagree due to it’s foreign policy.
US Republicans have no beef with Russia, while US Democrats very much so.


I missed this reply. Guess I’m better at French than I thought.


From my poor French and what I’m guessing:

French poll: “Which, according to you, nation contributed the most in the defeat of Germany in 1945?”


Take it to ACLU. Explain to them that this is war indoctrination.

Or answer the question by start with natural disasters if help is needed.
Then proceed with “For military purposes when the US, it should hold up a policy of non-intervention”. Give the third gulf war as an example of why it should follow non-intervention, due to no weapons of mass destruction found, give a few more examples of wars that have ended and then continue by saying that since the acceptance of no weapons of mass destruction was only months after the invasion war ended, you can not offer any advice on Russia’s invasion of the Ukraine or China’s Uyghur muslims.


I mean, why kill all the intellectuals?
Don’t you want smart people to help run your country?


Most hated book: The black Dahlia and Catcher in the Rye. Stop swearing and stop whining. I can’t even get past the first two pages if you do that. Let me check page 50…okay, that’s it. Next.

Most hated tv show: Unhappily Ever After Loved ‘Married with Children’, this show was considered the same by anyone who didn’t like ‘Married with Children’ and it’s not. Where ‘Married with Children’ had a dysfunctional family where the wife had her reason to stay with her husband and vice versa and where only the siblings hated each other, the way siblings can do, this show upped the meanness of the wife and children and it was all aimed at the husband who’s only friend is an imaginary bunny that’s mean to him as well. All it did to me is say: “Stop whining and leave her.”

Most hated Movie: Transformers, live action of course. Not the cartoon movie from years earlier. Unlike Kommando, I loved the first cartoon series and so loved the concept. The interesting thing about the cartoon when I watched it as a child was how they were able to have an advancing plot and that was despite the fact that it was a cartoon specifically to sell toys and often adding new ones to boot. Since they were robots, they were able to get away with one-dimensional characters, killing off characters, including main characters.
This movie on the other hand, is the first time I walked away from. It was American Pie crossed with Armageddon, with color-filtered CGI so you can’t see how bad it is, which to me mean I’m trying to constantly move to see what’s going on, but it doesn’t help and then give up annoyed. I can’t for the life of it understand why people think they can enjoy vague blobs on the screen. All characters were less interesting than the ones in the children’s cartoon, especially the robots, who are supposed to be the main characters. Optimus prime, the main robot character in this movie had about the same depth as the least interesting side characters in the cartoon.

Least favorite Movie (favoured by most): Lord of the Rings trilogy Love fantasy, but not when it’s bleak. I do want to live in this world or it needs to have a compelling story to get invested in the characters. And while Transformers hid it’s bad CGI with color-filtered robots, this trilogy was color-filtered wholly in order to hide all the bad CGI and turn the sky blue-gray or light-brown. I don’t understand why people can feel invested in a world that looks permanently washed-out with grey skies and grey buildings and sun-light coming from angles that it looks like it was filmed on Alaska. I constantly felt like I was made colorblind and needed eye surgery to see properly again. Added with the dry dialogue, misplaced music, missing scenes like the death of Saruman and slow pacing, I could still watch it, but never really enjoy, because instead of wanting to walk away from the movie, I just want to walk away to a more pleasant looking fantasy world. The hobbit was a better watch, but everyone seems to hate it’s CGI. “Oh, now that your eyes are no longer impaired by the color filter, you noticed?”

Noticeable non-favorites is Harry Potter, but I felt already too old to like it, so I’ve watched only bits and pieces. Off what I’ve seen it was too fast paced. Jumping from one event to the next like so fast, I felt like I watching Fort Boyard. No time to waste what life at Hogwarts is, we need to jump to the next obstacle course.
Also, stuck-up Hermione seems an unrealistic match for Ron and would not accept anything less than Viktor Krum in both status and age.

And as for 1984, I only dislike how a no-dissent camera-everywhere London is compared to North Korea and not, you know, London.





For all those who wish to fight in Ukraine: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4F4qzPbcFiA








Is there any video out there that quotes Biden's "Putin" price hikes, without US conservative media commentators already getting mad over it? I just like to do it in their place.

Because the US conservative media is double delusional, as not only would they have done it themselves if they were in power, but they’d also rail against renewables as fossil prices go up and having of cheap nuclear fantasies, abandoning all sense of economic growth that used to be the staple of co…









2019年香港抗议活动支持者:
我希望香港能有和乌克兰一样的好结局。…