• OrnluWolfjarl
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    2 months ago
    1. Protests at the scale they are happening are important, because they are putting their governments on notice regarding the issue of Palestinian statehood. For the first time in decades, the Palestinian self-determination issue seems close to being resolved. That’s not to say that Hamas is immaterial here. That’s not the issue at all. What is happening is happening because of them. But support for Palestine is at the highest it’s been in 77 years. If it wasn’t, do you know what would happen? The US carrier group that was dispatched to the area would be busy bombing Palestine, and then it would be busy ferrying Palestinians all over the Middle East.

    2. If Iran gets embroiled in a global war, who is going to support it? Russia won’t. They started forming closer ties only 2 years ago, and Russia is busy fighting another war. China won’t either. Both of them will instead urge Iran to seek diplomatic solutions and they will probably pledge to assist it in that avenue, but nothing more. Furthermore, there’s BRICS to consider. BRICS brought Iran and Saudi Arabia on a path to rapprochement just a year ago. And this meant that Saudi Arabia also stopped attacking Yemen. Which is what actually allows Yemen to support Palestine in the way it does now. If BRICS’ position in the global economy is jeopardized due to to war, you can be sure that Saudi Arabia will go return to the Western fold. And then Yemen will be busy fighting against it, once again, instead of inflicting economic harm on Israel.

    3. The only reliable allies Iran has in a war, are Hezzbolah and possibly Syria. Syria is in no position to materially support a war after what has been done to it. Lebanon will be the first target of a joint US-Israel operation, and is also in no position to defend itself against both.

    4. If a war between Iran and the US breaks down, and is fought in the Middle East, the global economy will be destroyed. Do you really think Europeans will sit idly by? They will rush to join the US in its adventures once more. And European citizens will hail them as they do so, because their interest will no longer be a free Palestine, but it will be having cheap fuel.

    So what is the result of all this? Palestinian statehood will sink and will never be salvaged again.

    The current situation is leading to a Palestinian self-determination. Why destabilize that? Is the goal here to free Palestine, or is it to teach Israelis a lesson?