The United States has a strong interest in avoiding a long war in Ukraine. Although Washington cannot alone determine the war's duration, it can take steps to make an eventual negotiated peace more likely.
From what we’re seeing so far the assessment that Russia is being weakened militarily seems to be just hopium. Russia has massively ramped up its military production, and in relative terms it’s the collective west that’s being weakened.
China is definitely the biggest winner in all this, and the war has completely derailed US plans to start a conflict with China in the near future. Accelerated dedollarization is also helping China since it will make it easier to break with the dollar going forward.
Meanwhile, the analysis regarding US leadership being too invested in the war to change gears does seem accurate. US has painted itself into a corner and they don’t really have any way out now.
From what we’re seeing so far the assessment that Russia is being weakened militarily seems to be just hopium. Russia has massively ramped up its military production, and in relative terms it’s the collective west that’s being weakened.
China is definitely the biggest winner in all this, and the war has completely derailed US plans to start a conflict with China in the near future. Accelerated dedollarization is also helping China since it will make it easier to break with the dollar going forward.
Meanwhile, the analysis regarding US leadership being too invested in the war to change gears does seem accurate. US has painted itself into a corner and they don’t really have any way out now.