Unless they mess with the election somehow (don’t think they did against Trump in 2020, though I don’t blame those doubting either)- something that honestly has a very good chance of happening this time around- I think he’ll win.

Trump’s win back in 2016 was perhaps the most “democratic thing” I’d seen come out of the US if you ask me- AmeriKKKans choosing someone who truly represented themselves (often the worst of themselves, peak “ugly American,” but still), and also choosing a somewhat independent (perhaps better described as, somewhat unrestrained) candidate over the near universally repugnant ghoul (for anyone who isn’t similarly a ghoul) that was Clinton. And his term was, for all its disasters- in better circumstances than these past 4 years, simply for how bad things clearly have gotten for the majority of people. In truth though- for performance, I’d have argued the bar was in hell in the Trump era (it was), but Biden in many ways, other than token support of women’s and LGBT rights and such issues, honestly is probably worse. His foreign policy is definitely infinitely worse, that’s for sure, and his economic policy strikes me as little better.

Biden’s behavior honestly makes me suspect the game plan is hegemony or bust (with the “bust” scenario featuring- possibly start WW3, definitely let the US economically collapse, and have the establishment elites flee to the Caribbean and NZ after finally plundering their own country for all it’s worth- basically the same kind of plan Ferdinand Marcos or a whole slew of other western-backed dictators have had throughout history, or that Zelensky, Ing-wen, and possibly Netanyahu definitely have nowadays).