What you people think will be the outcome?

Will it be practiced or end up in nothing?

  • albigu
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    10 months ago

    I randomly had this thought when watching the speech, Lula’s international geopolitics might be the standard social-democrat playbook of only taking the smallest risks with the lowest chance of winning, but making them seem like their biggest fights. Kinda like the US democrats on abortion, for reference.

    Although Brazil has a very large economy, the government has no fangs and will hardly ever threaten imperialist countries to get what it wants. There’s basically no internal mobilisation for, for example, bigger partnership with Cuba (i.e. the new Mais Médicos program is now directed at Brazilian doctors) or other strong actions. Besides a bit of buzz and a slight mounting of the already gigantic pressure, I doubt that this will bother the USA much.

    And this isn’t even a change in opinion. PT has always had moderate support and cooperation with Cuba and IIRC they had the official position that the bloqueo is criminal during their other 3.5 presidencies.

    Cool? Yes, actually pretty neat. But without coordinated action by CELAC for something impactful it’s just words in the wind. Friendly reminder that the UN has a vote every year where 170+ countries vote demanding an end to the embargo, and only the USA and their middle-eastern military base vote to keep it.

    • olgas_husbandOP
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      10 months ago

      i disagree in some parts, i don’t believe that everything boils down to brazil not having a strong military like usa, china and russia.

      brazil have diplomatic and economic weight (even tho is a mere commodity exporter) and something else that i can’t explain what it is, but give us the capability of tipping the scale to one side and everything points out that is tipping in favour of global south.

      i agree that just one speech won’t change anything, but it is definitely bothering the north, proof of that is brics being 6 years in hiatus, in one year is back and had substantial growth, and usa and ukraine desperate to be favored by brazil.