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Cake day: September 14th, 2025

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  • TLDR: Ask Salvador Allende. Oh, wait, you can’t. You could ask Miguel Diaz-Canel instead, but he’ll probably tell you that it doesn’t work that way.

    The dictatorship of the bourgeoisie isn’t homogeneous. No political system is. There’s factions, there’s push and pull, there are adaptations to reality, and there are failures to do so. And like any other political system, it’ll only rally and act in lockstep if there’s a threat to the whole. A threat to every faction at once, usually through a threat to the whole system itself. In the case of the DotB, socialism/communism/worker rule is that threat.

    In a nutshell. The reason that reformism doesn’t work is because, no matter what flavor of DotB you have, the entire purpose of the system is to keep wealth flowing to the top. Parliamentarism, presidentialism, junta, monarchy, electoral technocracy, what have you, doesn’t matter. Capitalist government exists for the purpose of keeping the relations of capital. Trying to use a tool of capitalism enforcement and maintenance, refined to the nth degree by capitalism, is trying to sail a lighthouse, or to teach a dog to sing. It literally can’t do the thing you want it to do. Attempting to twist it into a tool of the DotP would break it - I say would because, before you can even break it, it will slice your hand open.

    When we say capitalism is entrenched, the DotB is both the biggest shovel and the best trench. The entire incentive system in modern governance makes it so that most people working in it have a vested interest in it doing what it’s doing. Both by (more commonly in the past) bribing the technical operators of bureaucracy, and by (always) placing beneficiaries of the system in decision making positions. Trying to get a DotB to cooperate with a socialist project leads to every level of governance has its interests threatened. And that’s on top of the bourgeoisie itself being threatened. And so the system will fight for its own survival, both at the systemic level (unjust laws, lawfare, opposition mechanics) and at the individual level (people simply not doing what the DotP project would want them to do).

    Infiltration from the government from the top doesn’t work because individuals within the system have every incentive to keep the apparatus as is. Infiltration from the bottom (mostly) doesn’t work because the state apparatus prunes itself of elements that don’t fit the incentive system, or neutralizes those elements when it can’t prune them.

    When it comes to DotB government infiltration, it either happens at almost every level at the same time, or it doesn’t work. History teaches us that toppling the government as a structure (aka revolution) is easier, and has a better success rate, than trying to win multiple elections at several levels plus replacing bureaucrats plus coopting enforcers and military branches all at the same time. Naturally, this is an oversimplification - doing any of those things is good. I’m open to examples to the contrary, but the point is, doing those things only leads to actual long term success if the leverage gained is used to topple the government. If socialists just sit on one or two victories inside the apparatus, or try to leverage those into more power within the apparatus, they get pushed out or neutered sooner or later, and the position is lost.

    Any and all corrections by comrades are welcome. I’m not that well read.


  • Banger read. I’ll point out that this is one of those that is more current now than when it was written. It’s not exactly “prescient”, it’s the contradictions having sharpened (and the DotB having learned from their previous trysts with fascism and improved their fascist formula) makes this more pervasively true now than before. Or something.

    Here’s a question to my fellows here: how do we get ahead of the fascists, on the ground level, at leveraging the contradictions? How do we, as agitators, at an individual level, bring the people in our lives who are pissed at the system into our tent before they do?





  • How does Lula handle the military?

    By not handling it, as we have seen from the two or three near misses that the Republic and its civilian rule had in the last fifteen years. More below.

    The near coup that Bolsonaro botched didn’t come out of the blue sky. The whole spiraling debacle that was the end of the Rousseff presidency, the Weimar speedrun that was the Temer presidency, and the rise of the far right all taught us that the Brazilian state apparatus is coopted at every single level. Any top down attempt to move the country away from the imperial order will be corroded from within. The Judiciary did, with Operation Car Wash. The legislature did, with their “coalition presidentialism” (which was a spin-off of Lula’s attempt to bribe the DotB from within, the mensalão).

    Ultimately, the army is the failsafe: the last tool for the owner class to course correct. But just that. One more tool. In every instance, the military coups failed not because of the military’s love of civilian presidential democracy, or because of any secret leaning towards the left. It failed because the military was disunited. The internal neoliberal faction decided that the juice wasn’t worth the squeeze; it wasn’t worth it to topple the system because the threat to the bourgeoisie wasn’t real. And they were right. Lula’s internal policy swing to collaborationism and his progression towards center-right fiscal conservatism is both proof and consequence. He knows the system will not allow him to change it, and being a reformist, he simply takes the system as far as it’ll willingly go.

    Ultimately, that is how Lula deals with the army: by presenting himself as an inoffensive alternative among the bourgeoisie’s buffet of stooges. His gentle guiding of the apparatus to the left here and there is less disruptive to the owner class than the radical, coup prone, christofascist adjacent far-right project. Thus, he is allowed to stay. And Brazil gets another four year round of bourgeois electoralism.

    TLDR: Blanquism doesn’t work. Changing the person on top doesn’t change the people in real power. True change only comes from revolution.



  • To quote a classic XKCD. Emphasis mine.

    Public Service Announcement: The Right to Free Speech means the government can’t arrest you for what you say. It doesn’t mean that anyone else has to listen to your bullshit, or host you while you share it. The 1st Amendment doesn’t shield you from criticism or consequences.

    If you’re yelled at, boycotted, have your show canceled, or get banned from an Internet community, your free speech rights aren’t being violated. It’s just that the people listening think you’re an asshole, and they’re showing you the door.






  • Proof positive that there’s no amount of watering down of the Democrat “resistance” that the Republicans will accept.

    Top level D’s know that, just as they know their entire raison d’etre is to serve as a lightning rod for discontent and as an off ramp for revolutionary potential. But… One of the few good things that ground level Democrats could do is to point out that this pathetic shit buttons gets them the same pushback they would get from ten thousand billboards saying “KILL EVERY SINGLE REPUBLICAN WITHOUT EXCEPTION” and “TORTURE THE ENTIRE FAMILIES OF GOP REPS TO DEATH”, which means any attempt to meet the fascists in the middle comes from a position of agreement with them.