Wonder how this’ll play out. After Krasna Hora and Ivanivske fall UAF has to pull out. Realistically way before that. If any significant part of the Bakhmut garrsion gets trapped in a cauldron there, I don’t see how they could recover really.
The thing is, that doesn’t happen without American approval. My sense is that there are people in Washington crazy enough to try this (because they think US industrial production is still what it was in 1960), but they’re at least woke enough to internal political trends to realize that this would be very unpopular with a huge section of the electorate, and would probably cost them their jobs. And whether the military would actually go along with open war against Russia is an open question.
The political situation here is very fragile. One section of the ruling class, the low-level billionaires like Trump and DeVos, are in conflict with the upper levels of capital like Microsoft, Exxon Mobile, Shell, etc. The January 6th riots – funniest day in US history – were one expression of this. The political establishment seems to be dividing into factions, with the various government departments (among which there is a stupid amount of duplication) serving as pawns. Nobody wants to blink and, by doing something politically unpopular, give the other side the advantage. As I see it, the real danger at this point isn’t that NATO is an unstoppable juggernaut with an infallible master plan; it’s more internal political conflicts within the US dragging the rest of the world into an armed conflict.
Wonder how this’ll play out. After Krasna Hora and Ivanivske fall UAF has to pull out. Realistically way before that. If any significant part of the Bakhmut garrsion gets trapped in a cauldron there, I don’t see how they could recover really.
NATO troops?
The thing is, that doesn’t happen without American approval. My sense is that there are people in Washington crazy enough to try this (because they think US industrial production is still what it was in 1960), but they’re at least woke enough to internal political trends to realize that this would be very unpopular with a huge section of the electorate, and would probably cost them their jobs. And whether the military would actually go along with open war against Russia is an open question.
The political situation here is very fragile. One section of the ruling class, the low-level billionaires like Trump and DeVos, are in conflict with the upper levels of capital like Microsoft, Exxon Mobile, Shell, etc. The January 6th riots – funniest day in US history – were one expression of this. The political establishment seems to be dividing into factions, with the various government departments (among which there is a stupid amount of duplication) serving as pawns. Nobody wants to blink and, by doing something politically unpopular, give the other side the advantage. As I see it, the real danger at this point isn’t that NATO is an unstoppable juggernaut with an infallible master plan; it’s more internal political conflicts within the US dragging the rest of the world into an armed conflict.