Every since D-Day on February 24th, 2022, Ukraine has been fighting a total war against Russia.
One of the most ghoulish talking points I see out of Ukrainian shills and Russian doomers is that Ukraine can and will simply take millions of casualties to win.
Can they really?⬇️
While I agree with the overall sentiment, that thread as too many data scientist moments. You can’t just look at a single war in history with very different dynamics and go “the threshold must be around 3%” and expect to be taken seriously. There are some good points (such as the Ukrainian society being overall comprised of older people), but the stacking of speculations to make bold predictions doesn’t help those good points.
While I agree with the overall sentiment, that thread as too many data scientist moments. You can’t just look at a single war in history with very different dynamics and go “the threshold must be around 3%” and expect to be taken seriously. There are some good points (such as the Ukrainian society being overall comprised of older people), but the stacking of speculations to make bold predictions doesn’t help those good points.