- The offensive of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the Kursk region, according to German military experts, could lead to long-term failures for Ukraine.
- Short-term successes may turn into defeats , since the expansion of the front is beneficial to Russia, which has greater resources.
- It is unlikely that Ukraine will be able to hold the positions it has gained due to logistical difficulties and a shortage of infantry. And Kiev’s hopes for the withdrawal of Russian troops from Donbas are unlikely, which makes the current operation very risky.
It seems more plausible that these nazis would be instead targeting Russia. Here’s why:
language barrier. The vast majority of Ukrainians already speak Russian (even if they pretend not to). Certainly more than speak German or even English. The accent might be noticeable, somewhat, but again - less so than in English
looks and manners. At the risk of sounding like some skull-measuring twat myself, a slavic person still looks somewhat different from an Anglo. Then there’s clothes, certain mannerisms. Much as they would like to pretend being all “fancy Euro Western”, Ukrainians are still closer to Russians in this regard
border size. Let’s be real here, Poland and Germany aren’t that large, all things considered. And the borders are shorter in length. And they’ve spend considerable effort fencing them off against “immigrant hordes”. I’m sure you remember the hysteria around the so-called “migrant crisis” around 2015. Conversely, Russian border is quite long and, as this very assault is showing, a bit more porous than the government would like. After that we circle back to top two points