From the comments, it seems most of the productions are either overseas or have the script “finished.” Some are even saying only the A list actors in those productions are from SAG. WGA is not participating on this, so there’ll be no script rewrites mid-production.
I have not investigated too much, but the sheer amount of films being made by companies named “film name LLC” looks a bit fishy to me.
I think the main issue (which this article doesn’t go into much detail) is that some of these productions will then go on to be streamed on AMPTP platforms like Apple TV. So it’s indirectly still providing resources to AMPTP, specially considering how hard it is nowadays for indie film to see the light of day without some publisher.
Edit: this one goes into more detail with the example of Tehran.
Yeah the fear is understandable. It definitely does open a window for strike breaking. Perhaps SAG-AFTRA might able to adjust its policy on allowing interim agreements when the effects are realized.
I think what’s important to be aware of too for anyone keeping up with the strike, is that there are a lot of division tactics happening in these entertainment publications – pitting writers against actors, quoting actors and placing emphasis on their concerns about union policy, etc.
No one should trust any commentary unless it comes directly from the unions themselves.