Last prediction I thought Canada was going to be pulled into the US civil war, but with the recent development I actually think Canada is up first.
The Freedom Convoy is yet another center to far-right laborer movement.
The issues are loss of fossil power, tech centralization and high inflation as Canada copies the US policy of printing itself out of an economic crisis,
while the protest is about removing red tape.
Removing vaccine mandates not going to solve the inflation crisis Canada has together with the US1 and the right wing protest seems to have backing from the Canadian police, so neither placating the protest nor attacking the protest will stop the protests.
That’s why I think the protests will not stop and eventually turn into the violent coup the US Republicans and Trumpians are salivating for.
The right wing media pundits are openly cheering it on and rich right wing USians are very likely the anonymous financial backers.
For them it will be a right wing coup and Canada will have to pay for it.
Once the coup has succeeded in Canada, they will try to do the same in the US, New Zealand, Australia, France (;_;), Netherlands (;_;) etc.
Currently the protesters are telling the media and each other that they are nothing but peaceful while blocking roads with concrete blocks supplied by the Canadian police, something that I think the US right wing has made illegal two years ago during the George Floyd riots and even went as far as to legalize for counter rioters to just drive over protesters in at least one state if they put up road blocks.
1 And the EU/UK, but the EU is not on the same continent and is going to have a different consequence.
I don’t think the convoy has nearly enough support for any sort of a coup. It’s not even a labor movement. These people are largely petty bourgeoisie. I think the real concern is that the protest will be used to give more sweeping powers to spy on and arrest people. For example, here’s what’s happening in Ontario already:
All these measures will inevitably end up being used against the left when there’s a real challenge to capitalist power structures. I think the real danger is that the existing state infrastructure will become increasingly totalitarian and the right will use it once its in power.
I don’t think the convoy has nearly enough support for any sort of a coup. It’s not even a labor movement. These people are largely petty bourgeoisie.
I’m comparing this protest to the student and labor protests in 1989 in Beijing, with the students being bourgeoisie as well.
And just like the student protests, this one has been going on for weeks now as well.
The difference between Ottowa 2022 and Beijing 1989 is that Ottowa 2022 has police support.when there’s a real challenge to capitalist power structures
I think that real challenge is happening right now.
Inflation isn’t being fought in the US and hasn’t been for at least 14 years. The debt is too high. It would throw them into a collapse if they do anything about, so they prolong and worsen the issue. Canada is not far behind and is going to go down with them.And so I expect these protests just to grow.
But I don’t live in Canada. And if you do and say this protest has too little clout, then I could easily be overestimating their numbers and the immediacy of the inflation issue.
Sure, it is a bourgeoisie protest, and Canada has a bourgeoisie government so naturally it’s very sympathetic to the protesters. I do expect general civil unrest to grow as well given that economy is only going to get worse and material conditions will keep declining.
I’m in Toronto, and from what I’m seeing the protest doesn’t appear to have all that much clout. Majority of people are hostile to the protesters, and we’ve even had unions organize counterprotests in Ottawa. My key point is that we need to differentiate between actual working class protests and astroturfed ones. When we see real worker protests start then the cops will be cracking down on those as they have done with G20 protests and indigenous protests.
How does this worker protest then differentiate from what you would call an actual worker protest? The type of demands?
I would imagine a trucker bourgeoisie protest if it were to continue while the economy falters would turn into cries for lower taxes, discriminatory laws that prevent new immigrants to able be employed, if things gets real desperate some kind of looting law that allows them to keep the goods they transport and other laws that increase their increase their income without lowering their employers’ income.
An actual worker protest would consist predominantly of workers, and would focus on issues workers have like having better pay, improved working conditions, and so on. This isn’t what this protest is about.
Also worth noting that business owners are perfectly happy employing and exploiting immigrants to lower their costs. Lowering their employees income and benefits is always the end game.
How are things progressing?
I think I’m going to be right with the Civil War with
Bourgeoisie capitalist liberals vs. Bourgeosie proto-fascists.Trudeau and the protesters are provoking each other to use violence.
Blocking roads and blocking bank accounts are extreme measures for what is a protest about easing COVID-restrictions.I know that there’s an actual left in Canada, but I suspect the both right wing groups are emboldened by the U.S.
