I’m usually a “Sane Trump Theory” supporter, but I see no outcome where the US achieves strategic gains in this one. Even with successful leadership assassination and significant damage to Iran’s current nuclear capabilities, it’ll just be kicking the can down the road and galvanising even more the Iranian people against the US. There’s no way an outright occupation of Iran will happen.

But most NATO substrates have also designated the IRGC as a terrorist org, which I think would imply that the offensive is somehow strategically important. I don’t like the whole depoliticising “distraction from Epstein” narrative, but I’m struggling to come up with alternatives here.

  • Lenin's Dumbbell
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    22 days ago

    Eh, US Imperialism is far older than the Epstein files. Iran was attacked because it’s the last anti imperialist force in the ME that has any capacity to resist Israel and US. Also it controls a large chunk of the world’s oil

    • Bronstein_Tardigrade
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      22 days ago

      Trump trying to take attention away from Epstein is no more lame an excuse than the ones dreamed up by all the presidents since Carter. In the last two weeks Trump has said it is about oil…protecting protestors…nuclear weapons program…back to oil…

      • Maeve
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        21 days ago

        It’s always been that way, scandal or none.