This one’s probably not going to happen. I would assume the fracture of the power of the American state would allow for a power vacuum to form. I would further assume certain polarized demographic bubbles in the US wouldn’t feel confident allowing the legal government of the United States to govern them.
From these assumptions, I think it’s possible but unlikely that North America will see a rise of warlords. Perhaps this could be like China’s warlord era, or perhaps it would be unlike anything anyone’s seen before - who knows? Regardless, I’ll reiterate, probably not going to happen.
I really like the idea of the “New Afrikan Revolution”, which I’ve seen in alt-histories and fictional future thingies as a revolutionary state of African Americans in the South. I’d reckon, if the US split into many states, that would be one of the ones that would emerge in time.
Hell yeah, the black belt thesis by Harry Haywood should def be resurrected.
And then call the new country Wakanda?
I’d reckon it would only happen if Ron deSantis or an equivalent becomes the next president.