This one’s probably not going to happen. I would assume the fracture of the power of the American state would allow for a power vacuum to form. I would further assume certain polarized demographic bubbles in the US wouldn’t feel confident allowing the legal government of the United States to govern them.
From these assumptions, I think it’s possible but unlikely that North America will see a rise of warlords. Perhaps this could be like China’s warlord era, or perhaps it would be unlike anything anyone’s seen before - who knows? Regardless, I’ll reiterate, probably not going to happen.
Good point. Collapse is either going to go the way I assume, or the way you assume, as far as I can tell. I highly doubt there will remain one united United States in 50+ years.
Yeah, I agree. In fact, I’d be surprised if US lasts another decade the way things are going. In the immediate future, I expect that democrats are going to fail to pass any meaningful policy and they will lose the midterms which ensures that they won’t be doing anything for the two years after that. Then republicans will win 2024 election because democrat vote will be depressed and they will have time to pass additional voter suppression laws by then.
I think it’s highly improbable that democrats don’t understand what they’re doing here. It’s also worth noting that the only things they’ve actually done so far was to pass massive military and policing budgets.
My impression is that democrats are angling to become the official opposition party that doesn’t actually ever hold power. This is a similar dynamic to what we see in Russia today. It creates the impression of having a vibrant political debate and provides a veneer of democracy that majority of people find acceptable.
Once republicans become the de facto ruling party I expect them to start passing openly fascist policy and to encourage their supporters to start violently attacking opposition. They will also use the militarized police that both parties have been funding and expanding to crack down on any dissent and protests.