I really am not convinced banning tiktok will matter. It will go down months before the election and I expect most people will have forgotten by then and more than that moved onto American regime controlled social media which will bombard them with the messaging that they must vote for Biden or they’re voting for Trump and everything bad ever you can imagine forever and are hecking bigots and so on.

Now if tiktok appeals and gets a stay and the ban goes down a month before the election, maybe. Also good chance tiktok buckles and sells to a US company minus their algorithms (so it’ll go to shit and devalue but it’ll also be killed off which is the goal here).

I’m just not convinced there’s this big group of young people voters who will either spite vote for Trump as a result of tiktok or who were going to be counted on to carry Biden to victory but won’t show up (he’s relying on older people, middle aged, Millennials, etc) for it to matter.

I’m also not convinced that the Gaza genocide will matter that much nationally. I think by then they’ll have completed it and stopped, put a lid on it, spun out all the happy feel good propaganda about how Biden stopped it, how they’re getting aid, how Trump is real danger and will hurt the Palestinians and yada-yada and I think that will work with most liberals who will be brow-beaten and shamed and fear-mongered into voting for Biden. They’ll also be blasting the sexual violence angle all over the place and if tiktok is gone and other alternative media clamped down on they’ll have the dominant messaging and people will tend to forget and get lost in whatever the newest manufactured meta just before the election is.

Trump still has a pretty good chance of winning though all bets are off. We live in increasingly interesting times.