Russia is giving IDs and clearing people of debt. Version that this will be some kind of semi-independent region now doesn’t hold up because of IDs, also Russia seems to really going to win this one also because of going through the process of giving IDs.
I don’t believe this was the plan, but since the “first phase” failed, Russia has no other option other than annexing as much of Ukraine as possible.
We could have a reverse Berlin wall situation with ppl coming into the east, if Russia spends resources building up the newly annexed territories, and the west keeps throwing the only money they’re willing to give on weaponry that gets destroyed in a few weeks.
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Reversed Kiev wall is something that could happen in a minor sense, it would be amazing if annexed East Ukraine was funded heavily.