We are at 1.3°C above pre-industrial average temperature. Scientists think we will pass 2.5°C.

An NDC is an abbreviation for ‘nationally determined contribution’ i.e. what the world says they will do to mitigate climate change.

“The best estimate of peak temperature in the twenty-first century (projected mostly for 2100 when temperature continues to rise) is in the range of 2.1–2.9 °C depending on the underlying assumptions.52 Without implementation of any conditional elements of NDCs, the best estimate of temperature change is 2.5–2.9 °C warming. Assuming full implementation of NDCs, including all conditional elements, the best estimate for peak global mean temperature is 2.1–2.4 °C.”

https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/cma2022_04.pdf https://nitter.net/EliotJacobson/status/1683535568268050432