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Cake day: September 20th, 2025

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  • From HB news mega (post body):

    spoiler

    As I said in the last megathread, trying to figure out what exactly is happening is becoming ever more difficult. The gist of things is that Iran has, very justifiably, refused to negotiate (assassinating their leader and striking their country with hundreds of missiles in the middle of negotiations causes some reluctance to return to the table, I suppose). Censorship across the Middle East has further ramped up, with reportedly extreme punishments for posting footage of Iranian strikes online. From what I can gather, Iran’s number of strikes have stabilized at a comfortable daily rate, with strikes into both the Gulf monarchies and Occupied Palestine continuing apace. Official charts of these strikes over time seem very disconnected from reality on the ground, but again, it’s hard to really get at the specifics.

    The messaging on how long the war is expected to last is rather muddled on both sides. The Trump administration fluctuates more than daily - and even sometimes in the same speech - on whether the war is already won or whether it’s going to last months longer. The US seems to be coming up a new possible scheme every few hours: a ground invasion with the Kurds? A ground invasion without the Kurds? An amphibious assault? A series of commando operations to steal Iranian uranium? A massive parachuting operation into Tehran? Fuck it, let’s just send the Navy into the Strait of Hormuz? There doesn’t seem to be a coherent plan for continuing hostilities beyond firing more and more of a limited stockpile of cruise missiles into mostly non-military targets, hitting easily replaceable drone and missile launchers with a limited stockpile of drones, and burning a limited stockpile of interceptors at an astounding rate (and, in the process, disarming every other Western-aligned country of their interceptors).

    Meanwhile, from Iran, I’ve seen rumors and reports from classic anonymous “senior IRGC officials” (no doubt some invented by Zionists to sow confusion), that I don’t know how to substantiate, ranging anywhere from “If the US pulls back their forces now, we will restart negotiations,” to “It doesn’t matter what the US or the Zionists do or say, we aren’t stopping until every last trace of Zionism in the Middle East has been extinguished,” to a few positions in between those poles. Despite the damage to infrastructure in Iran, it doesn’t seem like there has been any political or social fracturing. Not to speak too soon - perhaps the West will start earnestly trying to overfly Iranian territory to drop their very plentiful bombs soon - but every indication is that there will be no regime change nor societal collapse in Iran in the short and medium term.

    The US is desperately trying - and mostly failing - to keep a lid on the economic firestorm they have ignited. There has been much ado about oil prices and oil futures and indexes and what all the myriad Lines going up and down signify and things like that, which is befitting such a financialized empire which is so disconnected from the actual physical flows of materials and much more attuned to vibes and speeches. The only thing I’m personally paying much attention to on the economic front is the drones and missiles slamming into fossil fuel infrastructure, the Hormuz blockade, and the resulting global shockwave of shortages, stoppages, closures, bankruptcies, and force majeures spreading out from the epicenter that is Iran.

    Source: https://lemmygrad.ml/post/10980555 (post body)





  • 🇮🇷| Iran’s IRGC spokesman reacts to Trump’s claims about the condition of Iran’s armed forces and his claims about the end of Iran’s power:

    “Trump is trying to put psychological pressure on Iran through lies and deception. But Iran is standing courageously and with strong resolve against US and Israeli aggression.

    We are continuing the war with full strength, and it is Iran, who will determine when the war ends. Iran’s armed forces are ready to protect the oil and security of the region.

    Trump started the war by lying to the American people, but now Iran’s responses have left him in a state of confusion and helplessness.

    Iran’s armed forces are awaiting the US naval fleet in the Strait of Hormuz and the aircraft carrier Gerald Ford.

    The end of the war is in Iran’s hands.

    @FotrosResistancee

    Source: https://t.me/FotrosResistancee/19639







  • The mechanic here is both simple and terrifying. Semiconductor fabrication requires a highly stable power grid to maintain vacuum seals and lithography precision. If the gas carriers do not arrive, then the grid fails and the lithography machines go dark. A power flicker in a clean room can lead to a total loss of a three-month production cycle. Japan and South Korea are in the same fix. They have no significant domestic resources to fall back on. They are essentially floating workshops, and they can’t afford to screw up. Their heavy industries in shipbuilding and automobile manufacture require vast amounts of energy to power arc furnaces and assembly lines. With the sea lanes closed, they face the prospect of their productive machinery physically grinding to a halt. They live by the sea, and the global supply system on which they depend has just been cut off.

    A power flicker in a clean room can lead to a total loss of a three-month production cycle.

    can lead to a total loss of a three-month production cycle

    What happened to your link?

    Japan and South Korea are in the same fix. They have no significant domestic resources to fall back on.

    Japan’s re-militarization and South Korea acting as a launch pad for a potential US and their vassals’ invasion of China

    The AmeriKKKans’ dystopian warplans for China being thwarted before such plans unleash an apocalypse because the Strait of Hormuz is closed

    sicko yes



  • More than seven million people in the U.S. are estimated to suffer from Alzheimer’s, a disease that systematically destroys a person’s memory, personality and ability to function. While there is no cure, there’s reason for hope. Despite being battered by a severe economic crisis fueled by U.S. sanctions, a group of patients from the U.S recently traveled to Cuba to access a promising medication called NeuralCIM.

    Studies indicate that, unlike other medications, NeuralCIM has managed to slow the disease’s progression over an extended period of time without significant side effects, and has even reversed symptoms in some cases.

    Colorado physician Dr. Bill Blanchet has accompanied his patients to Havana and says the impact of NeuralCIM, in just six months, has been life-changing.

    “Making this drug available to the rest of the world is a mandate. It’s not a wish,” Blanchet told Belly of the Beast. “It will change the world.”

    Belly of the Beast’s upcoming documentary, Teresita’s Dream, tells the story of Dr. Teresita Rodríguez, a Cuban scientist who helped develop NeuralCIM while caring for her mother as she lived with the disease.

    “It would be very unfair if this product couldn’t reach other parts of the world,” Teresita says in the documentary. “It’s frustrating to think this could happen because of politics.”


    Life expectancy (in AES states) reaching up to 210 years…