wood for sheep?

  • Ghostalmedia@lemmy.world
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    8 months ago

    This isn’t actually true. In the US, housing has outpaced the value of gold.

    In 2023, you would need 254.7 ounces of gold to buy a house, since $495,100 avg home / $1,943 price of gold = 254.7

    In 1920, you would need 164.1 ounces of gold to buy a house, since $3,395 avg home / $20.67 price of gold = 164.1.

    • Numhold@feddit.de
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      8 months ago

      And let‘s not forget that the average home in 1920 was way more modest than today‘s average home.

    • Filthmontane@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      The bar in the picture says it’s a kilo which is $65, 344. While I could agree with OP that 10 kilos would give you an average house in higher priced areas like new York or LA, it would definitely buy you several nice houses in 1920.

    • droans@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      I’m seeing $412K as the average price of a home in 2023, not $495K. And gold was $2,135 in 2023. The price in gold is still higher in 2023, though about 193 bars for a home.

      Couple other notes, more related to the post.

      1920 is an oddly good year to use. It’s just after WWI. Industrialization and modernization are taking off across the US. Worker’s rights are beginning to take hold and working class people are now able to afford homes. It’s before the Roaring 20s, so you’re not going to get the actual details obscured with the market rush and subsequent depression.

      There is a couple important downsides though…

      Firstly, mortgages didn’t really exist back then. I mean, they did, but they were horrific. You’d have to go to an insurance company because banks wouldn’t offer them. The terms would give the insurance company full ownership of the property. If you were lucky, it would be a balloon loan - pay only the interest during the 5-10 year term and then pay the entire balance at the end. If you were less lucky, it was a lifelong contract where you only paid the interest plus fees every month.

      There was an alternative but most people didn’t have access to it: membership in a Savings and Loan corporation, also known as Building and Loan or thrifts. You’d join as a member and agree to buy X shares every month. If you give a notice (30-90 days usually), you would be allowed to cash out the shares plus interest earned for their actual value. When you wanted to buy a home, you would be allowed to use your shares as collateral. Each monthly payment would pay for the interest and a certain number of shares. Once you had enough shares, you would redeem them to pay off the loan. A bit complicated, but S&Ls were fantastic for the common person. They were owned by the members of your community and all loans went to support said community.

      Secondly, kind of related to the first point, there were no 30 year mortgages. Home prices are virtually tied to the monthly payment and a thirty year mortgage allows for lower monthly payments. Prices might get out of line a bit, such as right now, if people believe that interest rates will drop and they can refinance later. Personally, I don’t think we’ll see any drops for at least two years and, even then, we won’t see anything like the 2020-2021 rates unless we experience an economic catastrophe like 2008. You want higher rates when the macro environment is strong and lower rates when it’s weak. Cheap debt in a good economy is basically a handout to the rich - makes you wonder why Trump pushed the Fed to keep them low back in 2018-2019…

  • powerofm@lemmy.ca
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    8 months ago

    This post feels like it’s sponsored by the World Gold Council to encourage people to buy gold.

    • BillDaCatt@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      The bar in the picture is one kilogram or about $65,000 US dollars. Ten bars would buy a very nice house in my area.

    • skydivekingair@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      Which one? Gold was $20.67 per Troy ounce in 1920, that’s about $664.55 per kilo. 10 kilos about $6,645.55 I’m believing the first search result https://www.countryliving.com/life/g33398396/what-things-cost-100-years-ago/ says that matches up. Gold is about $64,900 per kilo today so $649,000 for 10 bars, that’s a low cost of living middle class place or HCOL very small house that needs renovation. I could see you meaning these days and houses in some areas are in the $6 million range, guess they should be location specific.

      • Patapon Enjoyer@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        $649,000 for 10 bars, that’s a low cost of living middle class place or HCOL very small house that needs renovation.

        What the fuck is going on with house prices up there

      • ikapoz@sh.itjust.works
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        8 months ago

        Median home price in the US last year was about 450k, so I’d say your scale is a bit skewed.

        • shalafi@lemmy.world
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          8 months ago

          Jesus. Got my house 7-years ago on a Habitat for Humanity mortgage, for which you pay cost. ~85K? Also, no interest on the loan. Also, no property tax.

          3-bed/2-bath/80’x200’ lot/1,140sq. ft. living space/$550mo.

          Call your local Habitat chapter, go to the next meeting and learn. Keep going with the program if you can. Took my ex-wife and I 14-months, start to finish.

          I can’t tell you the qualifications, they change and are different from one area to the next. I can give you some basic answers, at least I’ll try.

        • skydivekingair@lemmy.world
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          8 months ago

          Yeah I was going to say Upper Middle Class but I’ve seen some dumpy houses for those prices and it’s really titled by if you bought when interest rates were low vs the last year or so.

  • IdiosyncraticIdiot@sh.itjust.works
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    8 months ago

    10 kg gold Dec. 2023 = ~$727,591 = $2062.92 * 10 * 35.27 oz/kilo

    10 kg gold June 1920 = ~$105,810 = ~$300 * 10 * 35.27 oz/kilo

    seems much higher than the respective housing cost for an average home in both cases

    price ref

  • jabathekek@sopuli.xyz
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    8 months ago

    In 1920, the average price of gold per troy ounce was $20.68USD[26.2 kB pdf]; 1 Kilogram = 32.15075 Troy ounces. Average house price in the 1920’s was $6,296.

    $20.68 USD * 32.15075 oz t = $664.87751 USD * 10 = $6648.7751 USD

    In 2023, the average price of gold per oz t was $1,940.54 and the average home price was $495,100.

    $1,940.54 USD * 32.15075 oz t = $62,389.81641 USD * 10 = $623,898.1641 USD

    This meme is credible, excepting errors in my assumption that 1 kilogram of gold is equivalent to 1 kilogram of common material.

    • pingveno@lemmy.ml
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      8 months ago

      At the same time, it picks and chooses its dates. Gold has been volatile, with the price oscillating between $2,100 USD in 1980, $470 USD in 2001, and back up to $2,200 USD in 2011.

  • TheObviousSolution@lemm.ee
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    8 months ago

    They’d actually also be very likely to get you targeted by thieves as well. Even if you tried to keep quiet about them, there would be an entire chain of custody which would be required inform when such a large quantity of gold bullion where sold or bought, as well as their transportation and the transportation’s insurance, if you don’t get scammed in the process.

    • madcaesar@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      This is always my question. Like you see these movies about gold and diamond heists, but then… Wtf do you do with them? Who are you selling this shit to at retail value, or anywhere close to it?

      I feel like if somone handed me a bag of diamonds right now I’d have no idea wtf to do with them.

      • Hathaway@lemmy.zip
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        8 months ago

        You’d have no idea what to do with them because you’re not in organized crime. I would go look at Larry Lawton on YouTube. I think he posts a lot but if you go to his earlier posts he talks about his organized crime life. Wild.

    • Katana314@lemmy.world
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      8 months ago

      I’m reminded of so many fiction subplots where a character has acquired an extremely valuable XXX they want to sell.

      More often than not, it’s such an important object that any interested parties would sooner hire mercenaries to get it, and kill its owner as a witness (and in many of those stories, exactly that happens). Past a certain value, many items are not actually valuable for common people.

  • Snot Flickerman@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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    8 months ago

    wood for sheep?

    I almost missed this.

    I’ll just quote myself from my last game where I had a monopoly on the sheep…

    YOU DARE COME TO THE MASTER SHEPHERD WITHOUT A TITHE IN HAND?

      • Snot Flickerman@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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        8 months ago

        The title is “gold for house” and the body is “wood for sheep” implying they are a similar type of trade, not implying both are from Catan.

        Neither “gold” nor “house” exist in Catan.

  • Xavienth
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    8 months ago

    So what you’re saying is I should invest in gold because it increases in price at the same rate as housing?

    So I never actually make any progress? And then in the end I just have a bunch of gold? Why wouldn’t I just buy the house then?

    • Skalbagge@lemm.ee
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      8 months ago

      Well you can buy gold little by little and in the end you sell it and buy a house.

      • Xavienth
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        8 months ago

        Or as somebody pointed out you can invest in an index fund and get higher returns

  • doctorcrimson@lemmy.world
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    8 months ago

    Let’s be real, hordeing physical gold is just something elderly people do because of scam advertisements they see on cable TV.