Robert F Kennedy Jr is reported to be ending his challenge to Joe Biden for the Democratic presidential nomination and run instead as an independent candidate, in a move that could upset the 2024 race for the White House.
Kennedy, 69 and a scion of a famous political dynasty – a son of the former US attorney general and New York senator Robert F Kennedy, and a nephew of the former president John F Kennedy – will announce his run in Pennsylvania on 9 October, according to Mediaite.
“Bobby feels that the Democratic National Committee is changing the rules to exclude his candidacy so an independent run is the only way to go,” the website quoted a “Kennedy campaign insider” as saying.
in a move that could upset the 2024 race for the White House.
I don’t see how this follows. He was never a serious contender for the DNC in the first place. It always seemed weird he was running as a Democrat instead of a Republican to me as his policies were much closer to Republican policies.
To try and peel enough votes from Biden so Trump wins. And any Dem with more than two brain cells can clearly work out he’s only slightly less nutty than MTG or Bobert.
Personally I think he’ll get voters from Biden and Trump but not fundamentally change the outcome.
Hmm, running as an independent I think his odds of stealing Republican votes are higher than stealing Democrat ones. As I said it always seemed strange to me he ran as a Democrat in the first place since he parrots a bunch of the Republican talking points. I think what votes he does get are likely to come from independent voters that would have voted Republican or maybe a few MAGAts that still want Trumps nutty platform (such as it is) but without the legal baggage Trump carries.
I’m not saying I believe this report could come true, but… it claims that RFK Jr could siphon 1/3 Dem votes from Biden:
I don’t believe a word of that purely because it’s claiming 25% of Democrats they polled said they’d vote for RFK Jr. as their top pick. There’s absolutely no way a quarter of Democrats support that lunatic.
Most people are way dumber than you think.
I don’t disagree, but with 998 people polled, it’s not that reliable. To add to that, Rasmussen reports ran the poll and they have a rightward lean, so definitely doubtful of this polling.
Instead of spoiling in favor of Republicans, he’ll spoil in favor of Democrats.
That’s what changes. If he’s running for the dem seat and drops out to run as an independent, then he’s taking more votes from the right.
I don’t see how this follows. He was never a serious contender for the DNC in the first place. It always seemed weird he was running as a Democrat instead of a Republican to me as his policies were much closer to Republican policies.
Because he’s being funded as a spoiler to siphon off enough Democratic voters to potentially throw the race to trump? trump has a low cap to his general election support (probably mid-40’s), but most of that is strongly committed, so he has a high base. With that, he won’t win, but if they can run spoiler candidates to pull a few percent, that might be enough to win with his low cap.
The Democratic coalition is far broader, less cohesive, and thus overall more fickle than the modern republican one, so susceptible to these sorts of things.
It just seems like if that was their goal they would have had MUCH better luck funding an actual left wing candidate. Someone like Bernie Sanders or similar that’s pushing for far more progressive policies than the rest of the DNC (not that that’s a high bar to clear). Instead it feels like they found a left leaning Republican (putting him only moderately right of center) and convinced him to run under the DNC ticket, and then when that failed to do anything decided to run him as an independent, which is very risky for them as he’s likely to pull a lot of the more right leaning independents.
He’s a spoiler candidate, working for the Republicans.
Even Bernie Sanders, the longest serving and most popular third-party politician in modern history, maybe ever, has said that the only path to the presidency is through the Democratic party’s nominating convention.
Voting for an independent in 2024, as usual, will be indistinguishable from just voting for the Republican candidate.
If he’s a spoiler, he’d be a spoiler for the right.
From my anecdotal experience, I would agree. The only person I’ve heard say they like him said immediately after that, I’m not a fan of Trump but he’s better than Biden.
You’d hope.
How’s that?
He’s a lunatic conspiracy theorist, which nowadays appeals much more to the right than the left
The right is hoping that people see the “Kennedy” name and his claims of being “a liberal” and vote for him. Obviously, the smallest research into Kennedy would show that he’s nothing like his more famous family members, but the right is targeting low information voters.
That said, there is the possibility of some Republicans voting for Kennedy. My parents are staunch Republicans. They voted for Trump twice, only watch FOX News, and my father was convinced that Republicans would impact and remove Biden and install Trump with the help of the Democrats. (He didn’t explain just why the Democrats would do this. I can only suppose that they were hoping for every Democrat to lose any shred of sanity all at once.)
My father twice told me about how he thinks Kennedy is a great candidate. Would he vote for Kennedy instead of Trump? Maybe. He’s been backing off the Trump love recently - backing fist DeSantis and now Scott. Then again, he ALWAYS votes Republican so my bet would be his Kennedy support would disappear when he reached the voting booth.
As I have said every election year, I’ll bet anyone any amount of money that either a Democrat or Republican will win the election. 3rd party will never win.
Don’t waste your vote.
Sign me up for -$100k!
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The path to changing the system runs through the DNC.
Well, he’s gonna get the QAnon voters.
I still think he’ll end up being trump’s running mate.
This is the best summary I could come up with:
Robert F Kennedy Jr is reported to be ending his challenge to Joe Biden for the Democratic presidential nomination and run instead as an independent candidate, in a move that could upset the 2024 race for the White House.
“Bobby feels that the Democratic National Committee is changing the rules to exclude his candidacy so an independent run is the only way to go,” the website quoted a “Kennedy campaign insider” as saying.
Trump is only three years younger – and faces 91 criminal charges, including for election subversion, and assorted civil threats – but polls show less concern among his fervent Republican base that he could be unfit to return to office.
Rightwing figures – prominent among them Steve Bannon, formerly Trump’s White House strategist – have encouraged Kennedy to run against Biden or as an independent.
As cited by Mediaite, in July the Fox News host Greg Gutfeld said: “I think he should run as a third-party candidate because I do think he should, he would win.”
Running ‘independent’ means you’ll draw more voters from the candidate you resemble most in political ideology, personal conduct, and narcissistic mentality.
The original article contains 525 words, the summary contains 190 words. Saved 64%. I’m a bot and I’m open source!
I still haven’t seen any confirmation of whether this means he will be out of the Democratic primary or is trying to do both.
Someone in the Williamson campaign needs to get their shit together and make sure they are seriously working towards getting her on the ticket in multiple states. Now that this idiot is dropping them she should get moving.
I know there is a lot of pressure on people working in her campaign to leave because they feel they will never be able to get a job in any other political job afterwards but she needs to get on more progressive shows and get the word out.
