• KevonLooney@lemm.ee
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      11 months ago

      Don’t look at the conviction rate for federal prosecutors then. And stock up on BBQ sauce. A NY jury would convict Trump of just being fat and ugly, that’s how much everyone (including Republicans) hate him. People literally go out of their way to make their dogs pee on Trump Tower.

      You will just change your mind and say “He should have gotten more time! 5 years is nothing. House arrest? His house is huge!”

      For a former president, that’s the worst possible.

      • bassomitron@lemmy.world
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        11 months ago

        Republican voters absolutely still love him. Just look at early polling for the GOP primaries, he’s still leading by a huge landslide in the majority of states: https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/31/us/politics/2024-poll-nyt-siena-trump-republicans.html

        Is it depressing as hell that so many people are still obsessed with this corrupt, shitty buffoon? Definitely. But I keep seeing more and more comments on here acting like Trump is irrelevant and his base is virtually non-existent when that’s just not true (which is ironic, given how one of the main criticisms against Trump and his ilk is their detachment from reality).

      • Semi-Hemi-Demigod@kbin.social
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        11 months ago

        Maybe people in Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, and Manhattan hate him, but Staten Island, Long Island, and upstate NY are Trump country

      • VikingHippie@lemmy.wtf
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        11 months ago

        conviction rate for federal prosecutors

        The thing is that they, like state and local prosecutors, prosecute poor people who can’t afford effective representation tens if not hundreds of times as often.

        If you isolate their stats with regards to rich and/or powerful defendants like the Mango Mussolini, suddenly they don’t convict at anywhere near that rate.

        The difference is so immense that even an obviously guilty oaf with incompetent and unhinged lawyers like him is more likely than not to win or at the very least delay until his own death at his country club home.

            • Ya_Boy_Skinny_Penis@lemmy.world
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              10 months ago

              Oh God, I don’t even know where to start. How do you “argue in good faith” with someone who cites a book revire as evidence? And then you bother to look at the book reviee and it says nothing about winning at trial/after charging due to wealth?

        • KevonLooney@lemm.ee
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          11 months ago

          While you’re looking at them, compare their average approval ratings. Trump has the lowest of them all, having never broken 50% approval.

      • Tb0n3@sh.itjust.works
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        11 months ago

        Such a high win rate for federal prosecutions is indicative of a problem. Whether that be only taking cases which they are assured victory or winning against those who are not guilty, they’re both wrong.

  • Furbag@lemmy.world
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    11 months ago

    I’ve never wanted to be wrong about anything more than this in my entire life, but Trump will never be put behind bars. House arrest in Trump Tower? Most likely. Going to a white collar “resort prison” à la Martha Stewart? Less likely, but still possible. Going to actual Federal or State prison? I just can’t see it.

    If Trump is clearly going to lose in court, his lawyers would be wise to posture him as vulnerable and not fit to serve his sentence in the general population.

    Also, who fucking knows how the Secret Service are going to handle this one. Apparently there is no way to revoke a former presidents lifetime security detail, even if they are impeached or convicted of a felony. Only an act of congress can do so, so good luck getting a majority of both chambers to uphold the rule of law and send a felon to prison. Republicans will protect this piece of trash until their very last breath.

    • DragonTypeWyvern@literature.cafe
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      11 months ago

      White collar prisons aren’t real, other than house arrests.

      Minimum security prisons, where you are treated as roughly human, are though.

  • DoctorTYVM@lemmy.world
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    11 months ago

    Trump should have been in prison orange years ago. But there’s a better chance of him becoming president again. He’s protected by the American right wing and that is probably enough to keep him not only safe from legal consequences but to keep him in power. They won’t drop him until voters do.

    Prove me wrong america

  • Lammy@lemmy.world
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    11 months ago

    As a doomer, I’d like to point out that even conviction and imprisonment, do not prohibit him from winning the presidential election.

  • blackbelt352@lemmy.world
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    11 months ago

    While good, indictments are only one step in the legal process, they are not the end result. Most people were not confident we would even make it this far into the legal process with how much the justice system favors those with money and power and this situation has literally never happened in our history. We have never had a former president indicted for crimes.

  • Mossy Feathers (They/Them)@pawb.social
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    11 months ago

    Personally, I’m just incredibly jaded and have literally no faith in anything anymore. You’re expecting that the feds and state governments will be willing to enforce the 14th amendment at the risk of personal safety. I’m expecting that they’re all gonna raise a big huff and fuss but then pussy out about actually blocking trump from running for president.

  • Beefalo@midwest.social
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    11 months ago

    We don’t care about indickted, only convicted, give us a holler when the real thing happens. Orange jumpsuit to match his face, cuffs, perp walk, call me when I can see it or don’t call me.

    Some folk have not watched this worm slither off the hook again and again, and it really shows.

  • ThatsTheSpirit@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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    11 months ago

    In my very humble opinion the worst hell get is a retirement deal in Mar a Lago. Some extra security? A bigger fence perhaps.

  • Kite
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    11 months ago

    “guys this forth inditement will stop him for sure!”