That’s probably a subset of 2c. Israel sees the state of the grand chessboard and acts from a position of weakness, changing the state of play and requiring the US to act from a position of weakness.
But as always with us, Yog, I will caution that we should be actively seeking evidence to invalidate our hypotheses and current expectations so that we have a mor clear eyed picture of the ongoing processes.
Naturally, we’ll have to wait a bit to see what actually happens. All we can do in the meantime is go by past experience. I think Ukraine is very illustrative here, and we can also look at Yemen and how that played out. My impression is that the US made another blunder, but obviously I can’t know that for sure right now.
That’s probably a subset of 2c. Israel sees the state of the grand chessboard and acts from a position of weakness, changing the state of play and requiring the US to act from a position of weakness.
But as always with us, Yog, I will caution that we should be actively seeking evidence to invalidate our hypotheses and current expectations so that we have a mor clear eyed picture of the ongoing processes.
Naturally, we’ll have to wait a bit to see what actually happens. All we can do in the meantime is go by past experience. I think Ukraine is very illustrative here, and we can also look at Yemen and how that played out. My impression is that the US made another blunder, but obviously I can’t know that for sure right now.