Image is of the aftermath of an Israeli bombing of Beirut in 2006.
We are now almost one year into the war and genocide in Gaza. Despite profound hardship, the Gazan Resistance continues its battles against the enemy, entirely undeterred. Despite Israeli proclamations throughout 2024 that they have cleared out Hamas from various places throughout Gaza, we still see regular attacks and ambushes against Zionist forces. Just today (Monday), Al Qassam fighters ambushed and destroyed another convoy of Israeli vehicles. The predictions early on in the war were that Israel would defeat Hamas in mere months, needing only until December, then January, and so on. This has proven very much untrue. Israel is stuck in the mud; unable to destroy their enemy due to their lack of knowledge about the “Gaza Metro” and, of course, a lack of actual fighting skill, given how many times I’ve seen Zionists getting shot while they gaze wistfully out of windows.
The same quagmire will occur in Lebanon, only considerably worse. Both Nasrallah and Sinwar possess a similar strategy of luring Zionist forces onto known, friendly territory, replete with traps and ambushes, to bleed them dry of equipment, manpower, and the will to continue fighting. The scale of the invasion could fall anywhere on the spectrum from “very limited” - more of a series of raids on Hezbollah positions than truly trying to occupy land - to a total invasion which would seek to permanently take control of Southern Lebanon. Neither is likely to destroy, or even substantially diminish Hezbollah’s fighting abilities. This is not wishful thinking: Hezbollah has convincingly defeated Israel twice before in its history, pushing them from their territory, and both times Hezbollah had almost no missiles and a limited supply of other equipment, relying on improvisation as often as not. The Hezbollah of 2024 is an entirely different organization to that of the early 2000s.
Attempts to drive wedges between Hezbollah and the rest of Lebanon are also unlikely to succeed. Hezbollah is not just a military force, it is extremely interlinked into various communities throughout Lebanon, drawing upon those communities to recruit soldiers. Throughout its history, it has provided education, healthcare, reconstruction, and dozens of other services one would attribute to a state. Amal Saad’s recent suggestion of using “quasi-state actor” as a more respectful replacement for the typical “non-state actor” seems advisable. And the decentralized command structures, compartmented leadership, strong succession planning, and aforementioned community ties almost entirely neutralizes the effectiveness of assassinations. Hezbollah’s Deputy Secretary General Naim Qassem has confirmed that Hezbollah’s path has been set by Nasrallah, and his martyrdom will not stop nor even pause their efforts. Additionally, he confirmed that despite the recent attacks by Israel which nominally focussed on destroying missile depots, Hezbollah’s supply of weapons has not been degraded, and they are still only using the minimum of their capabilities.
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Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
a number of iranian missiles were intercepted by “israel” using a method that was perfected by Ukraine: smash them with your military targets such as airbases and so on. 100% interception rate!
Germany has instructed its citizens to urgently leave Iran
Fairly interesting Rybar post about the Hezbollah tunnels we were shown and includes new Israeli propaganda video claiming they were intended to be used in an operation similar to Oct 7th but to invade Galilee.
Rybar calls this out as probably bullshit, I concur.
https://xcancel.com/Israel_katz/status/1841422324890812763 CW: unhinged settler lies about SA
Secretary-General Guterrez is now “persona non grata” in Israel because he failed to condemn Iran now or Hamas regarding 7th October attacks
He actually did condemn the attacks last October but I guess it was not enough because he also said they didn’t happen in a vacuum.
Absolutamente nada que ver con el tema del día pero:
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Hoy en Argentina hay marcha en contra del congelamiento del presupuesto a universidades públicas.
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Relacionado a lo anterior, similar a lo sucedido con Trump y Bolsonaro, me saca de quicio que pateás una piedra y salen 25 periodistas pedorros que ahora se hacen los progres “pegandole” a Milei por programas de stream, cuando son terribles macristas hijosderemilputa.
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Settler officer down
By the guardian
"Israel announces death of soldier killed ‘during combat in Lebanon’
Israel has announced the death of a soldier in Lebanon during what it has described as its “limited” ground operation inside the neighbouring company.
It said the 22-year-old, part of a commando brigade, “fell during combat in Lebanon.”
Earlier Hezbollah claimed that it had inflicted casualties on Israeli troops it engaged in Maroun al-Ras, a Lebanese village in the south of the country which is opposite Avivim and Yir’on in Israel"
Israel taking firsts Ls directly by hezbollah. Probably more unreported as aways.
I hope to god that the Chineses will not make the same mistake that the russians and iranians did and entertain negotiations and peace talks with the west in condition of them backing off.
Checking AP News to see headlines about the latest, why do they suck so much? Basically repeating the same sort of IDF propaganda we’ve seen in relation to the conflict. Talking about how hard it is to be Jewish in the US right now (mentioning ‘divisive pro-Palestine protests,’ give me a fuckin break), about the incredible air defences of Israel and how they completely foiled Iran’s attack.
But in food related articles, they had one about how you can have good protein without meat and they have the worst photo of a shitty looking plate, are they trying to make vegan food unappealing?
Wtf is this?? I think it’s a crack on the plate but it looks like a hair in it lol.
Cutting back on meat doesn’t have to mean going without protein.A full-scale war is indeed bad but…
Jonathan Panikoff, the director of the Scowcroft Middle East Security Initiative at the Atlantic Council…
“A full-scale war, or even a more limited one, could be devastating for Lebanon, Israel, and the region. But from it, unexpected opportunities will also come — to undermine Iranian malign influence in the region, for example, by actively impeding its efforts to reconstitute Hezbollah. And a new administration should be prepared to take advantage of them."
NYT: A Wider War in the Middle East, From Hamas to Hezbollah and Now Iran
Ghoulish fuckers must revel in their fantasies of mass death and suffering.
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Edit
I posted that before I read the next paragraph. Holy mother of fuck.
That is what old wars and hot wars do. They create new power dynamics, vacuums to be filled.
So before the lovely October surprise there was a interesting video by Justin Podur. In it he talks about how he doubts that Hezbollah was “compromised.” (and other things)
isisrael had to drop 85 bunker buster bombs to get Nasrallah. They didn’t “know” where he was they played wack a mole till they were pretty sure they got him. He wasn’t “in hiding” he was in his bunker in his city. The only reason they even knew roughly where the bunker was is because Nasrallah was having a meeting with other top Hezbollah guys and a IRGC rep. The only reason isisrael knew who to watch was because Hezbollah sacrificed their opsec to go fight in Syria.
It wasn’t a failure or a betrayal from within. Nasrallah died because he was fighting a world spanning empire and it took every trick empire had and even then they could only do it by killing 1000 people wounding 6000 and displacing a million.
pics posted by the IOF of them entering Lebanon, if you zoom in on the background of the dog pic you’ll see the border wall
Another incident now on occupation forces south of Lebanon, different than the one from the morning
Resistance suffers from opsec. They should make opsec propaganda poster like these
Is Israel unhinged enough to retaliate with direct strikes on Iran? It would make zero strategic sense. My guess is they will probably let out their fury on Lebanon and try to maintain the narrative that the Iranian strikes were a failure that don’t need a response. But I also keep underestimating Israel’s bloodthirsty recklessness so I’m not really sure.
Zionist dipshit makes case for Yemen being part of Eretz Yisrael:
https://xcancel.com/realMaalouf/status/1840451164099244144
