If there hadn’t been a year of sons and husbands and fathers and grandfathers being more or less abducted by press gangs to become conscripts: Definitely.

But they know there is a war of aggression going on. And regardless of whether they support the war, they know this is retaliatory.

So the die hard supporters will likely support the war even more. But the vast majority of people will lose the ability to ignore it as “Just more Putin stuff. Praise great leader” and force people to pick a side. And the Russian people know they aren’t going to benefit from the newly captured land and resources. The oligarchs will.

I know a decent number of mainland Chinese folk between grad school and extended family. They are in the same boat. Some support Winnie and others are just keeping their heads down. But they know they live in a batshit insane world of censorship and tend to not be too surprised on the rare occasions the outside world reaches in.