A good overview of the geostrategic Zugzwang that the US empire is facing on three fronts: occupied Palestine, Iran and the broader West Asia, and Russia-Ukraine. The usual disclaimers apply as always when i recommend pieces by non-Marxist authors.
As i have previously explained in another post about an article by the same author, it is clear to me that they have reactionary inclinations. For this particular piece this results in a couple of noticeable annoyances:
One being the bad habit that quite a few geopolitical commentators from the conservative side have with bringing “eschatology” (and more generally metaphysics) into geopolitics. The other is calling anti-colonialism an “emerging religion” in an attempt to conflate it with idealistic/moralistic ideologies.
Both of these are clear symptoms of a lack of dialectical materialism in the author’s thinking. Feel free to ignore those parts as they are silly and would not have been included had this been written by a Marxist.
The rest of the analysis i would say is quite lucid, however glaringly incomplete as it entirely omits discussion of the biggest strategic Zugzwang of all for the US which is the unstoppable rise of China.
In all fairness however, that is a huge topic which needs a dedicated piece all its own just to scratch the surface.
So which path to we think the yankee imperialists will take in ukrain and israel? strategic retreat or strategic commitment? I’d bet on keeping ukraine on life-support and being forced to fully commit to war in the West Asia by israel.
That seems like a safe bet.
That seems to be the strategy although I don’t think keeping Ukraine on life support will be enough to stop the russians from getting to the Dniepr.