• zouden@lemmy.world
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    1 year ago

    Russia cannot win this war. Even if they used nukes.

    I think you know this.

    • kava@lemmy.world
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      1 year ago

      Why do you think US is giving more and more military aid if Russia has no chance of winning? For example before they wouldn’t give tanks - that was a red line. Then we sent tanks.

      Then we wouldn’t send airplanes - then we did.

      Now we’re sending cluster bombs and uranium ammunition, something that’s akin to using chemical weapons.

      Why? The situation is getting increasingly tense. This war could last a long time but the support from the West will not last forever. And by the “West” we mean the USA. That’s where overwhelming majority of the aid comes from.

      Trump wins in 2024 and goodbye Ukraine ggwp. Russia just has to hold the line and eventually they’ll annex Crimea + Donbas + Donetsk

      And if they’re lucky maybe Odessa

      • ScornForSega@lemmy.world
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        1 year ago

        The same reason General Popov was dismissed then attacked by state media. The same reason Prigozhin encountered minor resistance on his march to Moscow.

        Morale is low, stockpiles are depleted and industry is decimated, partially by sanctions and partially by mobilization.

        Russia is using WWII tactics with cold war era equipment. Thousands of artillery pieces don’t mean a whole lot if you can’t put counter-battery fire on a HIMARS. Thousands of mobiks aren’t going to be effective if they don’t have modern training and equipment. Russia wasted hundreds of guided missiles on residential targets with no strategic value in the middle of a war.

        The war is already lost. The only question now is how many more Russians have to die on Ukrainian soil before Putin starts to care.