While I do expect the US will escalate, simply pulling out would be the least bad option at this point. I don’t see any way the US can actually reopen the strait by force. So, further escalation is simply going to drain more resources from the empire, without changing the long term strategic outcome.
Of course, simply pulling out at this point is also a disaster. US vassals will see that the US was defeated. They’re still going to have to deal with Iran to get through the strait. The petrodollar would take a huge hit if Iran continues to insist trade through the strait is done in yuan. US geopolitical position is going to collapse because everyone will know that the US can’t protect them. But all of these things are already baked in the cake at this point. Continuing the war is basically a sunk cost.
While I do expect the US will escalate, simply pulling out would be the least bad option at this point. I don’t see any way the US can actually reopen the strait by force. So, further escalation is simply going to drain more resources from the empire, without changing the long term strategic outcome.
Of course, simply pulling out at this point is also a disaster. US vassals will see that the US was defeated. They’re still going to have to deal with Iran to get through the strait. The petrodollar would take a huge hit if Iran continues to insist trade through the strait is done in yuan. US geopolitical position is going to collapse because everyone will know that the US can’t protect them. But all of these things are already baked in the cake at this point. Continuing the war is basically a sunk cost.
honestly, collapse of the petrodollar as a result of this would be the most hilarious outcome
Don’t give me hope man. Don’t give me something to live for.