CarmineCatboy2 [he/him]

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Joined 5 months ago
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Cake day: February 8th, 2024

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  • The United States is long overdue for a massive political realignment. The Democrats and the Republicans are indistinguishable when it comes to most policy issues, and also tend to court the same groups: suburban conservatives of various kinds. Where they differ is social policy, and the Democrats make their greatest efforts to make sure that difference is in name only. A lot of conventional wisdom on how people tend to vote is up to be challenged.

    Such as the position of latin americans, who were often assumed to be too much of an other to be courted by the Republicans, but to whom the Democrats make no real offers besides a lot of patronizing assumptions that fly in the face of a group that skews more religious than average. Another is the distribution of populations - what matters most in these polarized times is the urban/rural divide. However communities across the country are being upended by the risks associated with climate change, deindustrialization, inflation and so on. People are moving. States are changing and the corruption of gerrymandering might not be able to stem the tide either way.

    I’m still leaning that this election being a 50/50 by no merit of any living soul in Washington DC. But I wouldn’t discount a landslide either way due to even greater amounts of people staying at home, or due to the aging milennial demographic gaining an importance that their grandparents once had, or whatever.





  • Self-coup is a bit of a strong word to use given that self-coups involve dissolving parliament or declaring a state of emergency in the face of a real or fabricated threat. Convincing a guy with a cushy latin american general job to drum up an anti communist circus in the capital is something else. What level of Chess would Arce have to be at if he fired Zuñiga for threatening a rival (Morales), all as a conspiracy to seize more power for himself? And then, what powers have Arce seized so far?

    If I were to guess, what is behind this is the fact that Arce and Morales aren’t part of a hivemind. In fact, isn’t Arce supposed to be a dissident?


  • Been saying this for years. When your entire ideology is based around racial supremacy and defending european women from immigrants you’ll accelerate the centralization of Europe, not end the EU. Talk is cheap. People like Le Pen and Meloni talk about ‘ending the EU and creating an Europe of Nations’. The moment they reach critical mass their movement will just wield european institutions to further their agenda. And they won’t have any agenda beyond being cultural reactionaries because they are 20+ countries fully dominated by american capital and won’t agree on anything but killing migrants and sending guns to Israel.









  • That’s assuming the economic arrangement during and post climate change is conductive to rising birth rates in the first place.

    What people, especially on the right, don’t realize is that falling birth rates is not a matter of incentive or culture. It’s correlated with rising literacy rates. That’s it. The moment people realize the costs of raising a child in an industrial society and how that affects their future livelihoods they simply don’t. The reason birth rates were high in pre industrial societies is because having lots of children was the economic strategy of every living human - from peasants to landlords to kings and merchants. The reason we had exploding growth rates during the industrializing period is because literacy rates and standards of living actually went down in many places, and didn’t catch up to the industrial reality until much later. Now, having a child is a luxury for the gentry few. Therefore, populations de-grow.