6 states siding against a supreme court decision to deny access to federal authorities seems big, if thats happened in my lifetime I’ve not heard of it before

  • Egon [they/them]@hexbear.net
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    9 months ago

    My money is on this being the thing that directly causes the US to balkanize, and only because it seems to be against the hexbear main consensus. This site was wrong about the invasion of Ukraine, I think this is going to be Hexbear tradition.

    • SeventyTwoTrillion [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      9 months ago

      Wrong about the beginning of events, but correct about their trajectory once they have begun

      But often only because we go “No, that won’t happen, that would be stupid and counterproductive for the West” but then they just do the thing anyway and so we just go “…okay, well, they’re gonna lose then”

      • Egon [they/them]@hexbear.net
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        9 months ago

        I think the skepticism toward the invasion of Ukraine was completely correct and valid, we just forgot we live in hell world.

        • Sephitard9001 [he/him]@hexbear.net
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          9 months ago

          It was a Thatcher bombing situation. The libs crying wolf about Russia only have to get lucky once, we have to get lucky every single time. They like to forget that they were howling about an imminent Russian invasion for months and even US analysts no longer considered it plausible. And then it happened.

    • HamManBad [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      9 months ago

      Ukraine is like the only thing this site has been wrong about, and that’s only because we forgot the number one rule – the stupidest thing that can happen is the one most likely to happen

      • Egon [they/them]@hexbear.net
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        9 months ago

        And that rule is the exact same reason the site will be wrong this time. Most users are assuming rational action, forgetting they live in dumbworld

    • Kaplya@hexbear.net
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      9 months ago

      I actually anticipated a war in Ukraine (because I had been listening to Alex Mercouris and for months throughout 2021 he was very pessimistic about the various diplomatic negotiations leading up to February 2022), I simply did not expect it to happen this soon. I thought it would be another year or so, but those who had been following closely the US-Russia summit in 2021 knew that the US was dead set on provoking a war in Ukraine.