u/KimochiiiNe - originally from r/GenZhou
POLITICAL TRENDS

According to Xi Jinping and the current party consensus, there are four broad political trends in China today:

  1. “Ultra-left”, which upholds the Mao era and Mao Zedong Thought but rejects the Deng Xiaoping era and the theoredical framework of Socialism with Chinese characteristics. This position must be “profoundly re-examined”.
  2. “Left”, which upholds both the Mao and Deng eras, Mao Zedong Thought and SWCC. This position must be "strongly promoted".
  3. “Right”, which rejects Mao and Mao Zedong Thought but upholds Deng Xiaoping and SWCC. This position must also be "profoundly re-examined".
  4. “Ultra-right”, which rejects both the Mao and Deng eras, Mao Zedong Thought and SWCC. This position must be "firmly opposed".

Both Mao and Deng comitted leftist and rightist errors respectively. However, their overall contribution to Chinese socialism is immense and should be embraced. In line with this reality, critical tolerance must given to the Ultra-Leftist and the Rightist positions described above. But Ultra-Righists, seeking to “change allegiance” (capitalist restoration) are completely unnaceptable.

This position has been put into practice in party schools, common education, and party discipline. An example of this can be seen in the testimony of expelled former liberal-minded party members in this article of the Sydney Morning Herald:

Someone always loses in any political upheaval. In the rise of Xi, it’s the second-generation elite such as Cai and their families who have been either forced into silence, hiding or exile, leaving Xi unchallenged at the top of the CCP pyramid.

“These are people who have gone to Harvard or Yale, who speak excellent English, and they don’t like Xi.”

He says the combination of the Party as an ideological commitment and as a vehicle for professional promotion had left this group of potential Chinese leaders sidelined.

“These people are seeing their purpose torn up,” he says. “Xi Jinping doesn’t like that group of members, he likes true believers because he’s a true believer."

Essentially, Xi Jinping has focused on eliminating previously widespread graft and corruption as well as completely dismantling CIA networks within the party and state. He has also taken it upon himself to cleanse the party of liberalism, resumé hunters, historical nihilism towards party history, and western idolization; all of which were unfortunate conditions that developed during the Deng era, methastisyzing during the Jiang Zemin (and his Shanghai Clique), Hu Jintao administrations.

Nevertheless, in 2017 at the 19th CPC Congress, a third era in Chinese socialism was declared in accordance with the “Left” position presented above. The primary goals of this era are to assert party authority within the economy in order to carry out the technological, social, cultural and economic tasks necessary to completely lift China from a middle-income low complexity manufacturing export-dependent economy to a high-income, innovative and self-reliant/autarkik economy during the 2021-2035 period. In other words, China wants to be more like Germany or Japan with their large high-quality, high-tech and high-complexity manufacturing output instead of deindustrializing, financializing and outsourcing like the United States and Britain.

With China likely reaching the human development and gdp per capita levels of some southern european countries by 2035, and very possibly matching western/northern european countries in those terms by 2049, it has been confirmed that China will have thus completed the Primary Stage of Socialism and will ascend to the intermediate stage by 2049:

From the primary stage of socialism to the intermediate, and then the advanced stage, China is following a development process of constant evolution and constant strengthening. Currently in the “second half” of the primary stage of socialism, China has already developed important economic features that are usually found in an advanced economic entity, for example, innovation-driven growth, post-industrialization, green manufacturing and green energy; while also facing the challenges of an aging population and sub-replacement fertility. Furthermore, it has achieved modernization of the service industry, and informatization and digitization. These features reflect a situation in which development factors are becoming increasingly dominant, as underdevelopment factors decline.

as well as:

It now appears that we will achieve our goal to complete the building of a moderately prosperous society in all respects by 2021, the year the Communist Party of China celebrates its centenary. By the 100th anniversary of the establishment of the PRC [2049], we will have achieved our goal of building China into a great modern socialist country that is prosperous, strong, democratic, culturally advanced, harmonious, and beautiful.

After 2050, China will enter the intermediate stage of socialist development. The development theme will change from “common prosperity” to “common development,” with two main historical missions: (1) to turn China into a highly developed great modern socialist country (i.e. the third centenary goal) by 2078, the centenary of China’s reform and opening up; and (2) to realize the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation by the end of the century.

China’s third centenary goal can be described as a shift from “achieving common development” to “becoming highly developed.” The overarching objective is to build China into a great modern socialist country that is prosperous, strong, democratic, culturally advanced, harmonious, and beautiful in all respects, so as to lay a solid foundation with higher standards to enable the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation.

STAGES OF SOCIALISM

The best way to summarize the stages according to the current theoredical line of the CPC and the interpretation of Professor Cheng Enfu:

0th Stage or Socialist Construction Period

  • Founding of the PRC (1949) to the end of the Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution and the Boluan Fanzheng period (1977)
  • Bloc of Four Classes, New Democracy
  • People’s Democratic Dictatorship with Proletarian Leadership
  • Basic institutions of the PRC built
  • Basic Industrialization, urbanization, and infrastructure development
  • Eradication of severe deprivation, doubling of life expetancy and other achievements
  • Officially, this period is part of the primary stage but it’s generally talked about as being a separate era.

Primary Stage of Socialism

  • Beginning of Reform and Opening Up (1978) until the 100th year of the founding of the PRC (2049)
    • Split into two sub-stages
      • 1978-2020 (Moderately Prosperous Society, eradication of absolute poverty)
      • 2021-2049 (Modern Prosperity, eradication of relative poverty and underdevelopment)
  • Socialist Market Economy
    • Public Ownership in various forms primary; private ownership secondary.
    • Market-based distribution according to labor primary; according to capital secondary.
    • State-dominated Market Economy

Intermediate Stage of Socialism

  • 100th year anniversary of the PRC until the ‘end of the century’.
    • Split into two-sub-stages
      • 2050-2078 (Highly Developed, centenary of Reform and Opening Up)
      • 2079-2100* (Great Rejuvenation of the Chinese Nation by the ‘end of the century’)
  • Socialist Market Economy 2.0 (no official name yet)
    • Multiple forms of social ownership (state, coop, joint-stock); no private ownership
    • Multiple types of commodity distribution according to labor (similar to Stalin’s elaboration)
    • State-dominated planned economy with secondary market adjustments
    • Although theorists have suggested leaping over the ‘intermediate’ stage and instead having a longer ‘advanced stage’ (theoredical developments are only set in stone once they have been voted on and approved in congresses and/or added to the party constitution)

Advanced/Final Stage of Socialism before Communism

  • 2100*-???
    • No official speculation about the exact year but before the end of this century
  • Fully Socialist Economy
    • Single Public Ownership by entire society
    • Product-based distribution according to labor (overcoming/abolition of the commodity form)
    • Completely Planned Economy

Communism

  • Single public ownership by entire society
  • Product-based distribution accoriding to need primary (distributon according to labor for new products in shorter supply)
  • Completely Planned Economy

Hope this post helps clear up any doubts in regards to the current positions and theoredical discussions of the CPC.

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    u/Creeemi - originally from r/GenZhou
    Fantastic post comrade, great and easy to understand summary of all these positions, thank you

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    [deleted] - originally from r/GenZhou
    Amazing. I’ve been reading a lot of Guevara lately and it strikes me how his vision for a new man developed under socialism dovetails precisely with Xi’s vision for the shared primacy of economic and social development during the current “second half of the initial stage of socialism”. Xi has cleaned the party up, achieved moderate prosperity, and now China as a society can embark on this undeniably socialist-y socialist project.

    It’s already going so much better than the purges or the cultural revolution did.

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      [deleted] - originally from r/GenZhou

      Xi has cleaned the party up

      that sounds too optimistic comrade

      how are we sure that indeed 100% of the plants are gone?

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        [deleted] - originally from r/GenZhou
        Anti-Corruption is Xi’s pet policy for a reason. You will never get all the plants and capitalists out of a successful workers’ party. The point is to totally sideline them.

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    u/Hieu_Nguyen_1 - originally from r/GenZhou
    While this is indeed wholesome, I am somewhat saddened by the fact that I would never get to experience the life in a truly communist society. But all in all, if that is the life my descendants will get to see in person, I guess it is not that depressing.

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      u/KimochiiiNe - originally from r/GenZhou

      These trees which he plants, and under whose shade he shall never sit, he loves them for themselves, and for the sake of his children and his children’s children, who are to sit beneath the shadow of their spreading boughs. He repays a debt to his posterity which he owes to his ancestors.

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        u/fat_buffalo - originally from r/GenZhou
        前人種樹,後人乘涼

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      u/ScienceSleep99 - originally from r/GenZhou
      If the DPRK would be allowed to be free from imperial onslaught, we might be able to see an advanced socialist country.

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        u/Basileus_Nikephoros - originally from r/GenZhou
        I mean I think the DPRK would be in the Primary stage of socialist development according to the Chinese model, not anywhere near the advanced socialist economy of 2050+ that China is charting for

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          u/Azirahael - originally from r/GenZhou
          DPRK has advantages. They are smaller. They will be able to catch up fast, using China as a base.

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          u/ScienceSleep99 - originally from r/GenZhou
          You’re right I was referring to advanced as in terms of keeping itself free from liberalism.

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            u/Basileus_Nikephoros - originally from r/GenZhou
            Ah gotcha, I agree then

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      u/_TheHalfTruth_ - originally from r/GenZhou
      It is incredible to me that there is a political party in this world willing to dedicate themselves to a single cause for literal centuries, and who has already proved their commitment for an entire century. As an American, that is just mind boggling

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    u/ScienceSleep99 - originally from r/GenZhou
    This is amazing, comrade! I’m also glad that we are finally able to discuss the many pains in the reform and opening up period and the opportunism of some roaders to steer the path towards capitalist restoration.

    Class struggle is not over in China and there is a large class that has built up some power in China aided by the West. This is why it’s important to support the CPC as it crosses this path to deal with the opportunists.

    How will China and the CPC address concerns regarding climate change, bringing another developed country into the global economy and the strain on resources, the global south? I.e. can China escape periphery status and rise to the level of the countries in the imperial core without causing further ecological strain?

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      u/KimochiiiNe - originally from r/GenZhou
      The CPC has pledged peak carbon by 2030 and net zero by 2060. They are industry leaders in solar panel manufacturing. Further China is rich in the necessary minerals for green tech:

      “China provides more than 85 per cent of the world’s rare earths and is home to about two-thirds of the global supply of scarce metals and minerals like antimony and baryte, according to the Centre for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS).”

      Here are two short lectures on ecological civilization in the framework of SWCC.

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        u/ScienceSleep99 - originally from r/GenZhou
        Excellent, and I’m assuming that coupled with the BRI, the global south won’t be strained to develop a new rising country such as China, and China will likewise aid in developing the global south in win-win mutual cooperation. The CPC has this down pat. No wonder the imperialists are freaking the hell out. But speaking of which, where is the mention of imperialism in all of this and it plans to counter outside forces wishing to stop China’s rise?

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          u/KimochiiiNe - originally from r/GenZhou
          I would strongly recommend this article and this one on that topic. I would also recommend you keep up with the Asia Times which is a generally sensible publication on China and Eurasian affairs in general.

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      u/Logan_Maddox - originally from r/GenZhou

      How will China and the CPC address concerns regarding climate change, bringing another developed country into the global economy and the strain on resources, the global south? I.e. can China escape periphery status and rise to the level of the countries in the imperial core without causing further ecological strain?

      This is what I’m thinking too. We here in Brazil look forward to seeing how China will be dealing with that in their territory, and to hopefully join them too, as equals, when the time comes.

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    u/GreekCommnunist - originally from r/GenZhou
    So, according to this,if Im not mistaken, USSR and eastern block was in the intermediate stage, right?

    Also, also according to this, isn’t cuba in the intermediary stage and DPRK at the advanced stage?

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      u/ScienceSleep99 - originally from r/GenZhou
      I would assume the DPRK, if it wasn’t blockaded, it would be a shining example of socialism. Hell, it is amazing what they’ve been able to do given their circumstances.

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        u/KimochiiiNe - originally from r/GenZhou
        I agree. Cuba and the DPRK are both examples, especially the latter, of siege socialism which preserves the socialist character of an economy whilst still having a considerable degree of complexity and industrialization. I believe a Japanese economist who visited the DPRK described it as the ‘poorest advanced economy’ which is quite a compliment considering that any non-socialist country with their gdp per capita has decades lower life expectancy and is far poorer, less urbanized and underdeveloped.

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          u/ScienceSleep99 - originally from r/GenZhou
          That’s awesome. The DPRK is absolutely amazing. Imagine being freely available to trade with other countries, to not use a huge portion of its gdp on the military and to develop without siege! Can you imagine what the dprk would look like? Cuba too. Let’s hope they never give an inch to imperialism. They need to stay strong as China develops to be strong enough, along with Russia and even Iran, Venezuela too, so there will be a chance to undermine the Washington Consensus.

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          u/cheetobrochacho - originally from r/GenZhou
          In the 70s and 80s based on footage i saw on youtube dprk were probably the most advanced socialist nation in terms of technology.

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      u/KimochiiiNe - originally from r/GenZhou
      The DPRK is in an underdeveloped intermediate stage because cooperative and informally private small business ownership still presists (they emerged during the 90s because of the breakdown of state power during the Arduous March) although central planning in the mainstay of the economy. The USSR and eastern block were in fact in the intermediate stage as described by Stalin.

      To paraphrase Cheng Enfu, Marx and Engels described the advanced stage, Lenin and Stalin the intermediate stage, and Mao and Deng the primary stage.

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        u/GreekCommnunist - originally from r/GenZhou
        Yep,i agree, although isn’t a lot of distribution in DPRK product based and according to labour (especially necessities like food and clothes)?

        So, according to the graph, and please correct me if im wrong, modem Socialists countries could be classified as

        -Primary stage: PRC, SRV,LPDR

        -Intermediate stage: DPRK, Republic of Cuba(although cuba has still many elements of the primary stage)

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          u/KimochiiiNe - originally from r/GenZhou
          Yes, I think it’s fair to describe China, Laos, and Vietnam as making use of the primary stage whilst Cuba and the DPRK took the soviet path of jumping to the intermediate stage and then falling back a bit into the primary stage in their post-soviet periods of crisis, namely the ‘special period’ and the ‘arduous march’.

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    u/Dickgray0708 - originally from r/GenZhou
    This is a really great post.

    One question that I have is how will China contribute to the path towards Global Socialism.

    I know that China’s foreign policy is not to export revolution and not to interfere in the internal politics of other nations. But since world-wide communism is the end goal then how will China help towards that?

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      u/KimochiiiNe - originally from r/GenZhou
      Belt and Road to industrialize and develop Latin America, sub-saharan Africa, and parts of Asia. This will help these countries escape from the chronic low or middle income traps which they’ve been thrown into by imperial exctractivism and market captivity such as in most of sub-saharan Africa as well as unskilled manufacturing with no prospect of advancement and a semi-feudal rentier condition such as in the Indian subcontinent, the Phillipines, Indonesia. A mix of the two conditions above is present within Latin America.

      Essentially, economic development takes priority which naturally greases the wheels of revolution by strengthening the local country’s ability to resist imperialism, be it a national bourgeois (non-comprador) state like Brazil under Lula or a socialist state like Laos.

      In my view, this is wiser than global agitation for immediate armed struggle which puts the cart before the horses and is likely to lead to a failed protracted guerilla war that degenerates and becomes very unpopular as happened with the Sendero Luminoso in Peru, and to a lesser extent in Colombia with the ELN and FARC dissidents who effectively made guerilla a way of life somewhat devoid of immediate prospects of political gain.

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        u/cheetobrochacho - originally from r/GenZhou
        On top of this, i think china is going to promote more organic revolutions rather than what happened in east bloc where some people viewed it as a invasion (which is wrong)

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        u/falgscforever2117 - originally from r/GenZhou
        Is there any speculation as to changes in China’s foreign policy as it advances to the intermediate stage of socialism (and beyond)? It would follow that as it becomes less and less dependent on foreign capital, and more resilient against subversive activities from the west, and NATO in particular, it could be able to more effectively foment revolution at least is less developed regions, particular those already within the BRI.

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        u/Rhaenys_Waters - originally from r/GenZhou
        Any thoughts on how can China force “strong” countries to adopt socialism on later stages of its development? For example, my country Russia has nukes and our bourgeoisie either stays nationalistic or bends a knee, but in both cases, a devastating arsenal can protect them. Transforming someone like France is even harder because they are more rich and more loyal to the western ideals, and have nukes too.

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          u/KimochiiiNe - originally from r/GenZhou
          As the periphery of empire gives way to socialism, the first world bourgeois states will see themselves resorting to a more intensive exploitation of their native population because less imperial bounty will be available for redistribution. This is analogous to Mao’s idea of ‘surrounding the cities’ with the global south being analogous to the peasant army and the cities as the metropoles of the first world.

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            u/Rhaenys_Waters - originally from r/GenZhou
            I wouldn’t call ourselves an empire tho as we were robbed of any imperial presence but yankees, anglos, french etc. yeah.

            I see, so even Deng can into third worldism, apparently.

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              u/KimochiiiNe - originally from r/GenZhou
              I don’t think Russia is an imperialist power. Russia, much like Iran, is a bourgeois state with its own characteristics and is currently aligned against the empire. Whether or not it has capitalist-imperialist ambitions doesn’t matter yet because the primary contradiction is western imperialism.

              I wouldn’t call it ‘third worldism’ but more ‘global southism’ since the term third world doesn’t make much sense anymore without the USSR and Eastern Block to define the ‘second’. I find it analogous to how Rome fell by countless national, feudal (anti-slavery), and religious rebellions and political forces that chipped at its preriphery before expanding to the core. I believe the same could very well happen with the US-lead West being a capitalist Rome, rather than a slave one and the feudal barbarians that will ultimately bring it down being socialist countries and other forces aligned against the existing capitalist empire where out of its fall we could very well see socialism in the global north win out.

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      u/Serimnir - originally from r/GenZhou
      I think they’ll mostly contribute by setting an example, at least in the near term. Since it’s getting ever harder for even those of us in the imperial core to deny the superiority, on its merits, of socialism and particularly SWCC other low and middle income countries will even more clearly see it as the surest path to growth and stability.

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    u/1ThisRandomDude1 - originally from r/GenZhou
    Honestly I got very emotional reading this to the point of getting teary eyed. It is with a mix of frustration and regret for the past that I go on with my life these days, examining, processing, theorizing about both the present, past and future of the Arab world, my home. I’m overcome with both pride at the thought of seeing our Chinese comrades achieving socialism bit by bit, as well as sadness due to our own failures at doing so. If I were to be honest with myself I’d say there’s even a bit of jealousy in there. I just wish we could have began this new millenium, competing, cooperating, trading and standing side by side with the People’s Republic. Alas, our time has yet to come for such a thing. In the meantime, I’ll continue reading, learning, growing, and fighting to give us a future we can be proud of, no matter how long it may take.

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    u/westfell - originally from r/GenZhou
    This post literally has me tearing up with hope, got some work to do yall, but humans are on there way.

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    u/LimestoneQ - originally from r/GenZhou
    This made many things so much easier to understand! While having read about things separately this summarises things nicely. Great post!

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    u/LeElysium - originally from r/GenZhou
    Good post. Where did you get this info about a “socialist market economy 2.0”? Do you have info on this, or any official sources discussing this?

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      u/KimochiiiNe - originally from r/GenZhou
      Yes, it’s based on Professor Cheng Enfu’s interpertation, a chart and a lecture on which I linked at the beginning of the stages section.

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    u/ecosocialismplz - originally from r/GenZhou
    Thank you for this post and your formatting of it!

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    u/3multi - originally from r/GenZhou
    Great thread I’ve shared it.

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    u/Gogol1212 - originally from r/GenZhou
    great summary!

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    u/Tankpiggy - originally from r/GenZhou
    Very interesting

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    u/Huicho69 - originally from r/GenZhou
    Great work 🔥