So as I see it 🔮. Isreal will somehow brake this either by saying Hamas haven’t let the hostages go without any reassurance. Or they will do a false flag or something. The UN will make some lame response in stern words.

Question is what happens next in the security council. US will veto anything resembling embargo or enforcement and they will loose face internationally and domestically. Can’t say "look we are trying to stop the genocide. " As they do now.

Biden won’t survive that. That’s the thing that actually are something that can change the balance perhaps.