Nothing’s inherently maintainable or sustainable, and certainly nothing is permanent. Much depends on the energy, morale, logistics, discipline, initiative and overall command on both sides, all acting on eachother in a dynamic fashion. It’s too soon to be talking about a new and stable situation in this war, especially seeing as this counter-offensive finished up just recently and it’s only been a month since it was officially launched. We could reasonably see either side get the upper hand within the coming weeks.

Without comprehensive intel on the overall state of both sides armed forces it’s genuinely impossible to tell if Ukraine is winning or losing, and the information control exercised by both sides of this war has been extremely tight. Instead of facts we’ve been faced with a deluge of propaganda on both sides. We’re all lost deep in the wilderness of mirrors.