I’m not particularly a pessimist or an optimist. There’s some improvments in humanity as time marches on.
But there’s some bad things too. Like climate breakdown is one bad thing I’m sure my kids are going to live through.
I find it completely believable that the next 30 years will include a gigantic war with nuclear. Hundreds of millions could die, everything changes.
But I also find it completely believable that that won’t happen.
Ehh, nuclear war seems unlikely to me. Why did America feel confident nuking Japan? Because no other country has nukes to stop them. And the reason a nuke hasn’t been launched since is because there are plenty of advesaries that do have nukes. Mutually assured destruction. You think America didn’t want to nuke the Soviet Union, China, Cuba, etc.? There’s a reason they never did. I don’t think it’s likely they ever will.
Traditional warfare, drone warfare, cyber warfare, proxy wars, climate change; all very real concerns for the late stage capitalism world we find ourselves in. I’m just not too concerned about nuclear war.
Yeah, agree somewhat. Deng says the same here: that WW3 could be non-nuclear.
Non-nuclear war will still be pretty bad. Could involve things like autonomous killer robots.
Totally agree.