• @roccopun
      link
      32 years ago

      Yes, which is why I said it’s not a mistake in the first place, results were good… Instead of China losing all its once-in-a-lifetime industries, and not having opportunities to industrialize like the African continent; instead of losing all your economic/military/diplomatic sovereignty and just be a lamb to the slaughter every few years like the rest of East Asia, China went on a path to become the largest economy plus an independent nation in its decision making.

      All you got was 3 years of increased deaths (horrible event, yet objectively not anything special for China in the early 20th century), followed by the exact opposite, the largest increase in life expectancy unseen in human history on top of population growth anyways.

      If one want to claim the results of GLF is bad, that’s fine, but the idea of historical materialism is you need to present what the alternative action should have been, and what the better result would be from that action, so people can judge if the claims are valid. Otherwise just a vague claim of “GLF bad cuz bad things happened” often heard on this topic, is like saying chemotherapy was bad because it makes you bald and kills your cells, and when pressed nobody can come up with an alternative better than praying it away.

      • A better solution would have been to refrain from a people’s communisation campaign and to curb the culture of pomp and circumstance so that there would no longer be serious famine. And such a measure would not affect the industrialisation of China. In fact there were institutional problems with Chinese agriculture in Mao’s time. I have a book on Chinese agriculture in Mao’s time, but it’s all in Chinese and I don’t know how to send it to you

        Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)

        • @roccopun
          link
          02 years ago

          I can read Chinese, merely communicating in English to provide information to other readers. Feel free to link Chinese sources, even though I’m probably aware of the bad sides of the famine you want to present. The idea here, among others, is that actions like GLF are done with a reason, often extremely good reasons that outweighed the bad, that again no solid better alternative can be presented even in hindsight, much less back in the moment in time.

          If you refrain from communization, how is Chen Yun supposed to realize 统货统销 and distribute goods with the 400 million individual peasants? China today is not communized as you wish, and we are now armed with 21st century technology, what is the plan? Even today, collecting simple electricity bills from Wang family in random rural town #82742 is still more often unrealistic and simply not done. Even getting accurate information on the ground is near impossible house-to-house, and China is decades ahead and vastly more reliable than other largescale developing nations like India in this. Now what is the better measure that can achieve it 70 years ago?

          If you curb the culture of pomp, (which is driven by localities, which they even did try to curb) where else is the resources going to come from? How do you pay back debts to the Soviet Union? Why would it not affect the industrialization of China? If steel factory #821 need 1 billion capital investments in year 1959, it’s a hard number. You don’t dump 1 billion you can see it evaporate, period. If you do not want to have industrialization affected, then your claim is 1 billion is going to be raised without GLF, the question is how else do you raise the input of 1 billion.

          • 看起来你认为大跃进用饥荒换取了工业建设,并且它是值得的。那么我们的分歧在于是否值得的主观问题。我尊重你的看法,然我仍不认为通过牺牲大量生命换取工业化是正确的

      • The people’s communalisation movement led to peasants selling their means of production and livelihood, while local governments exaggerated food production leading to high taxes, which, combined with natural disasters, led to the Great Famine. This was also part of the Great Leap Forward. The Great Famine did not conflict with what China achieved during the Great Leap Forward, but the Great Famine did happen as part of the Great Leap Forward. If the Great Leap Forward did not include the People’s Communization Movement and did not lead to the Great Famine, then the Great Leap Forward was good. that industrial achievements did not necessitate a people’s communisation movement and lead to the Great Famine.

        Translated with www.DeepL.com/Translator (free version)

        • @roccopun
          link
          02 years ago

          This is true, but notice how the man-made aspect of the famine is caused by “local governments exaggerated food production leading to high taxes”, like you say. This is hardly a mistake of “Mao”. If I only make 80k, but decide to pretend to be rich and declare a 500k income on my tax return, do I blame the tax authority when I pay the corresponding taxes and starve?

          Mao’s fault in this is merely trusting that officials weren’t just lying in order to shoot their own foot. Not to mention the government needed the money after Soviet investment dried fast. Even then, when output numbers were becoming suspicious and contradict new information, he was among the first to call it out. Not to mention we still have videos of his colleagues like Liu & Deng visiting satellite farms. The narrative that GLF is categorized under Mao’s mistakes, and presenting Deng as a contrast to such types of mistakes, is a contrast that does not stand when you look into it.

          • 我说了,一项运动好与坏必须看结果。既然你承认由于大跃进的浮夸风和人民公社导致的对生产资料生活资料的损毁是导致饥荒的重要原因那么这不就证明这项运动是有问题的吗?人民公社化导致大规模的损毁生产与生活资料,不就代表了这是根本上的制度问题?政府推动人民进行新的运动,人民却做出不合理的事,即使这不是政府所设想的。那么这些不合理的事情的发生不就是由于政策推动的吗?大跃进期间的饥荒很大程度上不就是当时的政策造成的吗?大跃进期间的饥荒本可以不发生,没必要发生,但它发生了,所以它是坏的

            • @roccopun
              link
              12 years ago

              我也没觉得批毛不管理性不理性都是sb了,你要是正反面都了解,选择哪面当然是你我的自由。英文交流只是给老外灌输一点他们接触不到的另一面而已,大跃进发起背后的苏联撤资、困难时期过后中国成功独立和作为一个大国的真正主权独立,这些有人说吗?不都是张口就来一些三流写手理论,搞的好像全中国就一个疯子毛泽东一天睡醒就大呼要跃进,好像中央除了他全是明理人面对独裁者敢怒不敢言,好像全中国都是奴才无脑跟进毛泽东意志,老外整天就听这种sb降智宣传。没必要每个回复都怒踩,又不是微博打嘴仗来当二极管的。

              还是那话,批评可以,但要提出更好的方案(至少给个苗头)。如果像很多人一样只是批评,对实际情况和挑战不闻不问装作不知,那只能说你(不针对你本人)大概率还不如他们。不搞公社统货统销怎么搞、不搞大跃进如何保证今后经济一直就能好、嗷嗷待哺的工业化到底拿什么填、外债缺口上哪里补、地方财政坐飞机中央财政坐滑梯客观事实如何缓解,更不说蒋光头看到反攻大陆大好机会。。。哪几个不是政府内乱或国家解体或外敌入侵甚至更大饥荒重新做回黄非洲路线。

              放着当时带着两大超级大国,打反人类牌带着全球封锁中国的美苏帝国主义不批,非要批自家出牌破解帝国主义的,还偏偏硬拉某一个实际操作也就那样、别人最希望你拉出来的人。你要批,人家毛泽东当年还大呼过我们不怕核战争,威胁美苏中国人死个几亿后剩下几亿人要如何如何反击呢。那是不是另一个世界线如果美苏没被镇住,真屠杀了几亿中国人,这个锅也扣毛泽东头上,核弹下的冤魂不是美不是苏全算毛泽东账上?

              就算大跃进害死了一千万,不搞大跃进又要换个姿势死多少?给个只死八百万人的方案也行啊。然而民间一般只能看到因噎废食,只要你不吃饭就不会死的的神论。整天跟着节奏批毛泽东例如大跃进之类的所谓“左”的错误,疯狂借题发挥的,有几个真正知道毛时代到底在干啥、毛泽东本人干了啥、刘邓周等人又都是什么情况?批毛是有很多理性人,但很多其他人到底真有见解还是被带节奏,我想我们心知肚明。这里只能接触英文的群体就更不用说了。

              • 我真不是讨厌毛泽东觉得毛泽东坏耶。我也知道最大的问题原因浮夸风是下面搞起来的。我就是想嘛,大跃进是抑制了农业生产的,所以在高征收情况下会饿死人。但是如果没有抑制农业生产的话在征收同样的粮食的情况下不就不会导致这么严重的饥荒吗?所以我觉得说大跃进是错误的。嗯…还有就是即使为了工业化,饿饿肚子也是可以接受的,但是不应该饿死人。我就是这样想的嘛₍₍ (̨̡ ‾ᗣ‾ )̧̢ ₎₎